Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem Prediction and Stats | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13
Belgian Pro League · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Soevereinstadion, Lommel · updated 2026-11-14
Lommel SK welcome Zulte-Waregem to Soevereinstadion in Lommel in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Lommel SK have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 36% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Zulte-Waregem have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Lommel SK are narrow favourites at 46%, with the draw at 26% and Zulte-Waregem at 28%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Lommel SK 1.57, Zulte-Waregem 1.17.
- Over 2.5 goals: 52% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Lommel SK: form and key numbers
In style Lommel SK play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.21 a match created, 1.93 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.7).
- Shots: 10.8 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 47.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Zulte-Waregem: form and key numbers
In style Zulte-Waregem are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.24 a match created, 1.55 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 40.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem: season averages side by side
| Lommel SK | Per match this season | Zulte-Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 1.21 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.24 |
| 1.93 | xG conceded | 1.55 |
| 10.8 | Shots | 11.4 |
| 3.5 | On target | 4.1 |
| 47.1 | Possession % | 40.9 |
| 36% | Clean sheets % | 27% |
| 36% | Both teams scored % | 36% |
| 4.2 | Corners | 4.2 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 6.88 | Average rating | 6.79 |
Players to watch
Lommel SK
- Matthias Pieklak GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 57 · Secure passer, Box defender (top 35% of his position)
- Sverre Nypan CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 50 · Creator, Chance creator (top 4% of his position)
Zulte-Waregem
- Yannick Cappelle LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 58 · Reads the game, Ball-winner (top 7% of his position)
- Brent Gabriël GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 48 · Shot-stopper, Secure passer (top 22% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Shawn Adewoye
Shawn Adewoye, 26 · Lommel SK · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 60
Shawn Adewoye, 26, plays as a centre-back for Lommel SK in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in interceptions and dribbled past. Weakest in fouls committed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 60
- LB · Full-back Accomplished, 52
- LWB · Wing-back Accomplished, 45
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | 2.63 / 90 | 93% |
| Dribbled past | 0.22 / 90 | 71% |
| Blocked shots | 1.09 / 90 | 70% |
| Tackles | 2.08 / 90 | 69% |
| Duels won | 5.58 / 90 | 66% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Stopper Centre-back
Scout's notes: Reads the game.
- What Shawn Adewoye is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Shawn Adewoye's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem prediction
Lommel SK should have more of the ball; Lommel SK like to take players on; Zulte-Waregem go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.57 for Lommel SK and 1.17 for Zulte-Waregem - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 55%. Lommel SK have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Lommel SK 2-1 Zulte-Waregem
Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem: what the numbers say
- 1. Lommel SK unbeaten (win or draw) 72% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.74 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 55% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.4 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 8.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo Friday 20 November 2026
- Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden Saturday 21 November 2026
- Genk vs La Louvière Saturday 21 November 2026
- Mechelen vs Club Brugge Saturday 21 November 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp Saturday 21 November 2026
- SK Beveren vs Gent Sunday 22 November 2026
- KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Sunday 22 November 2026
- Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026
Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem: questions and answers
When is Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem?
Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem played?
At Soevereinstadion, Lommel, Lommel SK's home ground.
Who will win Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem?
Lommel SK are the favourites: Lommel SK 46%, draw 26%, Zulte-Waregem 28%. Our prediction is Lommel SK 2-1 Zulte-Waregem.
Who is the player to watch in Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem?
Shawn Adewoye of Lommel SK: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 60 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.