LOSC Lille vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction and Stats | Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Ligue 1 · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq · updated 2026-11-13
LOSC Lille welcome Olympique Lyonnais to Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Villeneuve d'Ascq in Ligue 1 Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
LOSC Lille have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 60% of them. At home they average 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Olympique Lyonnais have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 20% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: LOSC Lille 36%, the draw 30%, Olympique Lyonnais 34%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: LOSC Lille 1.16, Olympique Lyonnais 1.12.
- Over 2.5 goals: 40% · both teams to score: 47%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
LOSC Lille: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.18 a match created, 1.43 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.3).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 49.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (60% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Olympique Lyonnais: form and key numbers
In style Olympique Lyonnais keep the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.64 a match created, 1.16 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.4).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 52.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
LOSC Lille vs Olympique Lyonnais: season averages side by side
| LOSC Lille | Per match this season | Olympique Lyonnais |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 10 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 0.7 | Goals conceded | 0.9 |
| 1.18 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.64 |
| 1.43 | xG conceded | 1.16 |
| 11.4 | Shots | 12.8 |
| 5.0 | On target | 4.6 |
| 49.3 | Possession % | 52.7 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 40% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 40% |
| 3.6 | Corners | 4.6 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.87 | Average rating | 6.88 |
Players to watch
LOSC Lille
- Alexsandro CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 75 · Disciplined, Blocks shots (top 4% of his position)
- Olivier Giroud CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 57 · Takes high-quality shots, Dominant in the air (top 8% of his position)
Olympique Lyonnais
- Dominik Greif GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 70 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 6% of his position)
- Corentin Tolisso CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 61 · Creator, Gets into scoring positions (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ernest Nuamah
Ernest Nuamah, 23 · Olympique Lyonnais · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 61
Ernest Nuamah, 23, plays as a winger for Olympique Lyonnais in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shots. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 61
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 58
- ST · Centre-forward Accomplished, 53
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.48 / 90 | 97% |
| Shots | 3.34 / 90 | 83% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.11 / 90 | 78% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.07 / 90 | 64% |
| Dispossessed | 0.95 / 90 | 64% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume.
- What Ernest Nuamah is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ernest Nuamah's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
LOSC Lille vs Olympique Lyonnais prediction
Olympique Lyonnais should have more of the ball. Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals - 1.16 for LOSC Lille and 1.12 for Olympique Lyonnais - with over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams scoring at 47%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: LOSC Lille 1-1 Olympique Lyonnais
LOSC Lille vs Olympique Lyonnais: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 36%
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 60% by the model, 2.28 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.9 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 corners or fewer 8.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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- Lens vs Toulouse Saturday 21 November 2026
- Paris vs Angers SCO Sunday 22 November 2026
- Lorient vs Rennes Sunday 22 November 2026
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LOSC Lille vs Olympique Lyonnais: questions and answers
When is LOSC Lille vs Olympique Lyonnais?
LOSC Lille vs Olympique Lyonnais is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 11.
Where is LOSC Lille vs Olympique Lyonnais played?
At Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq, LOSC Lille's home ground.
Who will win LOSC Lille vs Olympique Lyonnais?
It is close: LOSC Lille 36%, draw 30%, Olympique Lyonnais 34%. Our prediction is LOSC Lille 1-1 Olympique Lyonnais.
Who is the player to watch in LOSC Lille vs Olympique Lyonnais?
Ernest Nuamah of Olympique Lyonnais: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 61 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in LOSC Lille vs Olympique Lyonnais?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 40%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.