Paris vs Angers SCO Prediction and Stats | Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Ligue 1 · Sunday 22 November 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stade Jean Bouin, Paris · updated 2026-11-13
Paris welcome Angers SCO to Stade Jean Bouin in Paris in Ligue 1 Gameweek 11 action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Paris have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 60% of them. At home they average 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 67% win rate. Angers SCO have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Paris are clear favourites at 65%, with the draw at 21% and Angers SCO at 14%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Paris 2.11, Angers SCO 0.87.
- Over 2.5 goals: 57% · both teams to score: 52%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Paris: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.59 a match created, 1.06 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.1).
- Shots: 13.5 a match, 4.9 on target.
- Possession: 51.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Angers SCO: form and key numbers
In style Angers SCO play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.34 a match created, 1.89 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.4).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 48.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 30% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Paris vs Angers SCO: season averages side by side
| Paris | Per match this season | Angers SCO |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 10 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.9 |
| 1.59 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.34 |
| 1.06 | xG conceded | 1.89 |
| 13.5 | Shots | 12.3 |
| 4.9 | On target | 3.2 |
| 51.4 | Possession % | 48.0 |
| 40% | Clean sheets % | 30% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 40% |
| 3.6 | Corners | 6.0 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
| 6.92 | Average rating | 6.79 |
Players to watch
Paris
- Pierre Lees-Melou DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 61 · Ball-winner, Secure passer (top 12% of his position)
- Maxime Lopez DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 57 · Secure passer, Ball circulator (top 4% of his position)
Angers SCO
- Anthony Lopes GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 65 · Secure passer, Long passer (top 3% of his position)
- Amine Sbaï LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 61 · Chance creator, Creator (top 11% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Lassine Sinayoko
Lassine Sinayoko, 26 · Paris · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 72
Lassine Sinayoko, 26, plays as a centre-forward for Paris in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in key passes and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in aerial duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 72
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 69
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 63
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 2.17 / 90 | 94% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 xG/shot | 86% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.70 / 90 | 85% |
| Expected goals | 0.63 / 90 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 52% | 80% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Takes high-quality shots, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring.
- What Lassine Sinayoko is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Lassine Sinayoko's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Paris vs Angers SCO prediction
Paris should have more of the ball; Angers SCO work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 2.11 for Paris and 0.87 for Angers SCO - with over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 52%. Paris have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Paris 2-1 Angers SCO
Paris vs Angers SCO: what the numbers say
- 1. Paris win, the likeliest result 65% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 3 or more goals 57% by the model, 2.98 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.8 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 9.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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- Lens vs Toulouse Saturday 21 November 2026
- Lorient vs Rennes Sunday 22 November 2026
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Paris vs Angers SCO: questions and answers
When is Paris vs Angers SCO?
Paris vs Angers SCO is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 11.
Where is Paris vs Angers SCO played?
At Stade Jean Bouin, Paris, Paris's home ground.
Who will win Paris vs Angers SCO?
Paris are the favourites: Paris 65%, draw 21%, Angers SCO 14%. Our prediction is Paris 2-1 Angers SCO.
Who is the player to watch in Paris vs Angers SCO?
Lassine Sinayoko of Paris: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 72 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Paris vs Angers SCO?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.