Malut United vs Bhayangkara Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 8
Liga 1 Indonesia · Friday 30 October 2026 · 08:30 UTC · Stadion Gelora Kie Raha, Ternate · updated 2026-10-25
Malut United welcome Bhayangkara to Stadion Gelora Kie Raha in Ternate in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 8 action on Friday 30 October 2026, kick-off 08:30 UTC.
Malut United have played 7 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 29% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate. Bhayangkara have played 6 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 2.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Malut United 37%, the draw 26%, Bhayangkara 37%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Malut United 1.50, Bhayangkara 1.51.
- Over 2.5 goals: 58% · both teams to score: 61%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Malut United: form and key numbers
In style Malut United play long and direct, cross a lot, create plenty of chances.
- Shots: 13.3 a match, 5.7 on target.
- Possession: 47.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 86% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.58.
Bhayangkara: form and key numbers
In style Bhayangkara keep the ball, play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 5.7 on target.
- Possession: 52.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.36.
Malut United vs Bhayangkara: season averages side by side
| Malut United | Per match this season | Bhayangkara |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 6 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 13.3 | Shots | 13.7 |
| 5.7 | On target | 5.7 |
| 47.7 | Possession % | 52.8 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 86% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 5.1 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.58 | Average rating | 6.36 |
Players to watch
Malut United
- Jorge GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 8 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 9% of his position)
- Gustavo CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 4 · Accurate shooter, Takes high-quality shots (top 12% of his position)
Bhayangkara
- Awan Setho Raharjo GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 8 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 17% of his position)
- Jefferson Brenes CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 4 · Secure passer, Press-resistant (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mauricio Vera
Mauricio Vera, 28 · Bhayangkara · DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 5
Mauricio Vera, 28, plays as a defensive midfielder for Bhayangkara in Liga 1 Indonesia. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and dribbled past. Weakest in fouls committed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 5
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 92% | 87% |
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 38% |
| Dispossessed | 0.00 / 90 | 36% |
| Tackles | 0.00 / 90 | 0% |
| Interceptions | 1.00 / 90 | 0% |
Roles he suits
- ★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ½ Ball-playing centre-back Centre-back
- ½ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Secure passer.
- What Mauricio Vera is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mauricio Vera's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Malut United vs Bhayangkara prediction
Bhayangkara should have more of the ball, with Malut United likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Malut United work the ball wide and cross; Bhayangkara go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.50 for Malut United and 1.51 for Bhayangkara - with over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 61%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Malut United 1-1 Bhayangkara
Malut United vs Bhayangkara betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 37%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 58% by the model, 3.01 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 10.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga 1 Indonesia previews
- Persija vs Persik Kediri Monday 26 October 2026
- Bhayangkara vs PSM Monday 26 October 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United Monday 26 October 2026
- PSS Sleman vs Borneo Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap Friday 30 October 2026
- Arema vs Bali United Saturday 31 October 2026
- PSM vs Madura United Saturday 31 October 2026
- Persik Kediri vs Persita Saturday 31 October 2026
Malut United vs Bhayangkara: questions and answers
When is Malut United vs Bhayangkara?
Malut United vs Bhayangkara is on Friday 30 October 2026, kick-off 08:30 UTC, in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 8.
Where is Malut United vs Bhayangkara played?
At Stadion Gelora Kie Raha, Ternate, Malut United's home ground.
Who will win Malut United vs Bhayangkara?
It is close: Malut United 37%, draw 26%, Bhayangkara 37%. Our prediction is Malut United 1-1 Bhayangkara.
Who is the player to watch in Malut United vs Bhayangkara?
Mauricio Vera of Bhayangkara: a deep-lying playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 5 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Malut United vs Bhayangkara?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.