PSS Sleman vs Borneo Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 7
Liga 1 Indonesia · Tuesday 27 October 2026 · 08:30 UTC · Stadion Maguwoharjo, Yogyakarta · updated 2026-10-25
PSS Sleman welcome Borneo to Stadion Maguwoharjo in Yogyakarta in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 7 action on Tuesday 27 October 2026, kick-off 08:30 UTC.
PSS Sleman have played 6 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 100% win rate. Borneo have played 5 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, PSS Sleman are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 27% and Borneo at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: PSS Sleman 1.47, Borneo 1.15.
- Over 2.5 goals: 49% · both teams to score: 53%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
PSS Sleman: form and key numbers
In style PSS Sleman play long and direct, cross a lot, take players on.
- Shots: 10.2 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 47.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.46.
Borneo: form and key numbers
In style Borneo are happy without the ball, play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Shots: 9.8 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 36.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.47.
PSS Sleman vs Borneo: season averages side by side
| PSS Sleman | Per match this season | Borneo |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 0.8 |
| 1.8 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 10.2 | Shots | 9.8 |
| 3.8 | On target | 4.0 |
| 47.5 | Possession % | 36.6 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 40% |
| 83% | Both teams scored % | 40% |
| 4.5 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 0.8 |
| 6.46 | Average rating | 6.47 |
Players to watch
PSS Sleman
- Pedro Caracoci GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 7 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 33% of his position)
- Dominikus Dion CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 2 · Secure passer, Ball circulator (top 51% of his position)
Borneo
- Kadú GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 8 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 9% of his position)
- Aditya Warman DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 3 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 23% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Gustavo Tocantins
Gustavo Tocantins, 30 · PSS Sleman · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 4
Gustavo Tocantins, 30, plays as a centre-forward for PSS Sleman in Liga 1 Indonesia. Strongest for his role in shots on target and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 4
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots on target | 50% | 70% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | – | 55% |
| Big chances missed | 0.21 / 90 | 5% |
| Expected goals | 0.00 / 90 | 0% |
| Goals | 0.00 / 90 | 0% |
Roles he suits
- ★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ½ Shadow striker Second striker
- What Gustavo Tocantins is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Gustavo Tocantins's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
PSS Sleman vs Borneo prediction
PSS Sleman should have more of the ball, with Borneo likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; PSS Sleman work the ball wide and cross; Borneo go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.47 for PSS Sleman and 1.15 for Borneo - with over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 53%. PSS Sleman have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: PSS Sleman 2-1 Borneo
PSS Sleman vs Borneo betting tips
- Tip 1: PSS Sleman win or draw (double chance) 71% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.62 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (49%)
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga 1 Indonesia previews
- Persija vs Persik Kediri Monday 26 October 2026
- Bhayangkara vs PSM Monday 26 October 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United Monday 26 October 2026
- Malut United vs Bhayangkara Friday 30 October 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap Friday 30 October 2026
- Arema vs Bali United Saturday 31 October 2026
- PSM vs Madura United Saturday 31 October 2026
- Persik Kediri vs Persita Saturday 31 October 2026
PSS Sleman vs Borneo: questions and answers
When is PSS Sleman vs Borneo?
PSS Sleman vs Borneo is on Tuesday 27 October 2026, kick-off 08:30 UTC, in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 7.
Where is PSS Sleman vs Borneo played?
At Stadion Maguwoharjo, Yogyakarta, PSS Sleman's home ground.
Who will win PSS Sleman vs Borneo?
PSS Sleman are the favourites: PSS Sleman 44%, draw 27%, Borneo 29%. Our prediction is PSS Sleman 2-1 Borneo.
Who is the player to watch in PSS Sleman vs Borneo?
Gustavo Tocantins of PSS Sleman: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 4 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in PSS Sleman vs Borneo?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.