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Nordsjælland vs Panathinaikos Prediction and Stats | Europa Conference League Gameweek 4

Nordsjælland welcome Panathinaikos to Right to Dream Park in Farum in Europa Conference League Gameweek 4 action on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.

Nordsjælland have played 3 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 60% win rate. Panathinaikos have played 3 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 100% of them. Away from home they average 5.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 67% win rate.

On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Nordsjælland 35%, the draw 26%, Panathinaikos 39%.

Moneyball's estimate

Nordsjælland35%home win
Draw26%draw
Panathinaikos39%away win

From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (3 and 3 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.

Nordsjælland: form and key numbers

Panathinaikos: form and key numbers

Nordsjælland vs Panathinaikos: season averages side by side

NordsjællandPer match this seasonPanathinaikos
3Matches3
1.0Goals scored3.0
1.7Goals conceded1.0
1.86Expected goals (xG)1.88
15.9Shots18.3
5.6On target7.9
57.0Possession %54.9
44%Clean sheets %0%
33%Both teams scored %100%
5.6Corners7.4
1.8Yellow cards2.2
6.96Average rating6.90

Nordsjælland vs Panathinaikos prediction

Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.41 for Nordsjælland and 1.49 for Panathinaikos - with over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 59%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.

Prediction: Nordsjælland 1-1 Panathinaikos

Nordsjælland vs Panathinaikos: what the numbers say

  1. 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 39%
  2. 2. 3 or more goals 56% by the model, 2.91 goals expected
  3. 3. Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
  4. 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.0 cards a match between them
  5. 5. 10 or more corners 13.0 corners a match between them

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.

The full analysis

Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.

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Nordsjælland vs Panathinaikos: questions and answers

When is Nordsjælland vs Panathinaikos?

Nordsjælland vs Panathinaikos is on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 4.

Where is Nordsjælland vs Panathinaikos played?

At Right to Dream Park, Farum, Nordsjælland's home ground.

Who will win Nordsjælland vs Panathinaikos?

It is close: Nordsjælland 35%, draw 26%, Panathinaikos 39%. Our prediction is Nordsjælland 1-1 Panathinaikos.

How many goals will there be in Nordsjælland vs Panathinaikos?

Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.