Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers Prediction and Stats | Championship Gameweek 17
Championship · Tuesday 24 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Carrow Road, Norwich · updated 2026-11-13
Norwich City welcome Queens Park Rangers to Carrow Road in Norwich in Championship Gameweek 17 action on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Norwich City have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 47% of them. At home they average 1.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 7 matches, with a 43% win rate. Queens Park Rangers have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 7 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Norwich City 39%, the draw 24%, Queens Park Rangers 36%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Norwich City 1.65, Queens Park Rangers 1.59.
- Over 2.5 goals: 63% · both teams to score: 65%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (15 and 15 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Norwich City: form and key numbers
In style Norwich City keep the ball, are strong in the air, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.57 a match created, 1.54 conceded (goals minus xG: +8.5).
- Shots: 14.7 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 52.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
Queens Park Rangers: form and key numbers
In style Queens Park Rangers press high, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.83 a match created, 1.19 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.4).
- Shots: 15.3 a match, 4.9 on target.
- Possession: 49.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers: season averages side by side
| Norwich City | Per match this season | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Matches | 15 |
| 2.1 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 1.57 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.83 |
| 1.54 | xG conceded | 1.19 |
| 14.7 | Shots | 15.3 |
| 5.3 | On target | 4.9 |
| 52.5 | Possession % | 49.8 |
| 13% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 4.7 | Corners | 5.7 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.83 | Average rating | 6.83 |
Players to watch
Norwich City
- Jovon Makama CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 42 · Duel winner, Dominant in the air (top 24% of his position)
- Pelle Mattsson CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 41 · Reads the game, Chance creator (top 13% of his position)
Queens Park Rangers
- Richard Kone CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 46 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 1% of his position)
- Alfie Lloyd CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 44 · High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions (top 30% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Harvey Vale
Harvey Vale, 23 · Queens Park Rangers · RMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 46
Harvey Vale, 23, plays as a wide midfielder for Queens Park Rangers in the Championship. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wide midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wide midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RM · Wide midfielder Natural, 46
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 40
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 38
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 2.48 / 90 | 86% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.32 / 90 | 86% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.29 / 90 | 77% |
| Dispossessed | 0.74 / 90 | 68% |
| Tackles | 2.21 / 90 | 64% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★½ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator.
- What Harvey Vale is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Harvey Vale's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers prediction
Norwich City should have more of the ball; Norwich City are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Queens Park Rangers press high to win the ball back. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 1.65 for Norwich City and 1.59 for Queens Park Rangers - with over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 65%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Norwich City 1-1 Queens Park Rangers
Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 39%
- 2. 3 or more goals 63% by the model, 3.24 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 65% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.9 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 10.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Championship previews
- Southampton vs Derby County Saturday 21 November 2026
- Norwich City vs Cardiff City Saturday 21 November 2026
- Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers Saturday 21 November 2026
- Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic Saturday 21 November 2026
- West Ham United vs Preston North End Saturday 21 November 2026
- Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion Saturday 21 November 2026
- Stoke City vs Birmingham City Saturday 21 November 2026
- Sheffield United vs Watford Saturday 21 November 2026
Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers: questions and answers
When is Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers?
Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers is on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 17.
Where is Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers played?
At Carrow Road, Norwich, Norwich City's home ground.
Who will win Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers?
It is close: Norwich City 39%, draw 24%, Queens Park Rangers 36%. Our prediction is Norwich City 1-1 Queens Park Rangers.
Who is the player to watch in Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers?
Harvey Vale of Queens Park Rangers: a wide playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 46 against every wide midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.