OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk Prediction and Stats | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13
Belgian Pro League · Friday 27 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · King Power at Den Dreef, Heverlee · updated 2026-11-14
OH Leuven welcome KV Kortrijk to King Power at Den Dreef in Heverlee in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
OH Leuven have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 27% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 67% win rate. KV Kortrijk have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 0.4 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 9% of them. Away from home they average 0.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, OH Leuven are narrow favourites at 55%, with the draw at 25% and KV Kortrijk at 20%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: OH Leuven 1.76, KV Kortrijk 0.98.
- Over 2.5 goals: 52% · both teams to score: 53%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
OH Leuven: form and key numbers
In style OH Leuven are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.48 a match created, 2.11 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.3).
- Shots: 13.2 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 45.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
KV Kortrijk: form and key numbers
In style KV Kortrijk are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.14 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: -8.6).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 44.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 27% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.65.
OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk: season averages side by side
| OH Leuven | Per match this season | KV Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 0.4 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 2.1 |
| 1.48 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.14 |
| 2.11 | xG conceded | 1.85 |
| 13.2 | Shots | 11.0 |
| 3.0 | On target | 3.4 |
| 45.5 | Possession % | 44.5 |
| 18% | Clean sheets % | 9% |
| 55% | Both teams scored % | 27% |
| 4.5 | Corners | 3.2 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.87 | Average rating | 6.65 |
Players to watch
OH Leuven
- Siebe Schrijvers CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 60 · Chance creator, Creator (top 1% of his position)
- Takuya Ogiwara LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 59 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 17% of his position)
KV Kortrijk
- Goduine Koyalipou CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 50 · Dominant in the air, High shot volume (top 15% of his position)
- Brecht Dejaegere CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 47 · Creator, Chance creator (top 11% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Robin Mirisola
Robin Mirisola, 19 · OH Leuven · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 62
Robin Mirisola, 19, plays as a centre-forward for OH Leuven in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and duels won. Weakest in shots on target. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 62
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 58
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 4.75 / 90 | 93% |
| Duels won | 9.34 / 90 | 92% |
| Shots | 3.91 / 90 | 75% |
| Expected goals | 0.57 / 90 | 70% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.53 / 90 | 63% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Duel winner.
- What Robin Mirisola is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Robin Mirisola's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk prediction
OH Leuven should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.76 for OH Leuven and 0.98 for KV Kortrijk - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 53%. OH Leuven have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: OH Leuven 2-1 KV Kortrijk
OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk: what the numbers say
- 1. OH Leuven win, the likeliest result 55% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.75 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 9.4 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 corners or fewer 7.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo Friday 20 November 2026
- Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden Saturday 21 November 2026
- Genk vs La Louvière Saturday 21 November 2026
- Mechelen vs Club Brugge Saturday 21 November 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp Saturday 21 November 2026
- SK Beveren vs Gent Sunday 22 November 2026
- KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Sunday 22 November 2026
- Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026
OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk: questions and answers
When is OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk?
OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk is on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk played?
At King Power at Den Dreef, Heverlee, OH Leuven's home ground.
Who will win OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk?
OH Leuven are the favourites: OH Leuven 55%, draw 25%, KV Kortrijk 20%. Our prediction is OH Leuven 2-1 KV Kortrijk.
Who is the player to watch in OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk?
Robin Mirisola of OH Leuven: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 62 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in OH Leuven vs KV Kortrijk?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.