Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction, Odds and Preview
La Liga · Saturday 19 September 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-07
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Osasuna host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on Saturday 19 September 2026.
Form in numbers
- Rayo Vallecano create more: 1.34 expected goals a match against 1.19 for Osasuna.
- Osasuna give away less, 1.35 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Osasuna 9.3 (3.9 on target), Rayo Vallecano 13.4 (4.6 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Osasuna 42.7%, Rayo Vallecano 42.7%.
| Osasuna | Per match | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.34 |
| 1.35 | xG conceded | 1.90 |
| 0.86 | Goals | 1.57 |
| 9.3 | Shots | 13.4 |
| 3.9 | Shots on target | 4.6 |
| 1.3 | Big chances missed | 1.1 |
| 42.7 | Pressure share % | 42.7 |
| 15.7 | Tackles | 17.4 |
| 14.0 | Fouls | 13.4 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 7 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings Osasuna won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Osasuna | 1 – 1 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 – 3 | Osasuna |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Osasuna | 2 – 0 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Osasuna | 1 – 1 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 16 Sep 2024 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 – 1 | Osasuna |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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