Parma Calcio vs Udinese Prediction and Betting Tips
Serie A · Thursday 29 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
Parma Calcio welcome Udinese to Stadio Ennio Tardini in Parma in Serie A action on Thursday 29 October 2026.
Parma Calcio have played 8 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 13% of them. At home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate. Udinese have played 8 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 13% of them. Away from home they average 2.3 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, there is little to separate them: Parma Calcio 34%, the draw 30%, Udinese 36%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Parma Calcio 0 at 2.14, Udinese at 1.78. The main goals line is 2.25: over 1.98, under 1.90, which gives over 49%.
Parma Calcio: form and key numbers
In style Parma Calcio are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.90 a match created, 1.67 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.2).
- Shots: 10.6 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 42.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
Udinese: form and key numbers
In style Udinese cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.04 a match created, 1.96 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.7).
- Shots: 14.0 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 49.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Parma Calcio vs Udinese: season averages side by side
| Parma Calcio | Per match | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| 0.90 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.04 |
| 1.67 | xG conceded | 1.96 |
| 0.63 | Goals | 1.13 |
| 10.6 | Shots | 14.0 |
| 3.5 | Shots on target | 4.0 |
| 1.1 | Big chances missed | 1.0 |
| 31.8 | Pressure share % | 46.9 |
| 14.1 | Tackles | 15.4 |
| 10.4 | Fouls | 11.0 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 8 measured matches.
Parma Calcio vs Udinese: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Parma Calcio have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Parma Calcio 3, Udinese 6 - 2.3 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Udinese 0-1 Parma Calcio (April 18th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Parma Calcio won 1, drew 0 and lost 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Udinese | 0 – 1 | Parma Calcio |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Parma Calcio | 0 – 2 | Udinese |
| 1 Mar 2025 | Udinese | 1 – 0 | Parma Calcio |
| 16 Sep 2024 | Parma Calcio | 2 – 3 | Udinese |
Players to watch
Parma Calcio
- Adrián Bernabé CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 62 · Chance creator, Long passer (top 8% of his position)
- Emanuele Valeri LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 58 · Creator, Chance creator (top 4% of his position)
Udinese
- Lennon Miller CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 54 · Dribbler, Reads the game (top 10% of his position)
- Christian Kabasele CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 54 · Blocks shots, Hard to dribble past (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mariano Troilo
Mariano Troilo, 23 · Parma · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 62
Mariano Troilo, 23, plays as a centre-back for Parma in Serie A. Strongest for his role in interceptions and long balls. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 62
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | 1.76 / 90 | 83% |
| Long balls | 3.28 / 90 | 79% |
| Clearances | 6.43 / 90 | 78% |
| Duels won | 5.04 / 90 | 73% |
| Passes | 63.28 / 90 | 72% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★ Stopper Centre-back
Scout's notes: Reads the game.
- What Mariano Troilo is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mariano Troilo's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Parma Calcio vs Udinese prediction
Udinese should have more of the ball, with Parma Calcio likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Parma Calcio go long and direct; Udinese work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.41 for Parma Calcio and 1.25 for Udinese - with over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 55%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Parma Calcio 1-1 Udinese
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Parma Calcio vs Udinese betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 36%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.65 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (49%)
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Parma Calcio vs Udinese in the Match Centre Follow it live
More Serie A previews
- Lecce vs Juventus Monday 26 October 2026
- Udinese vs AC Milan Monday 26 October 2026
- Sassuolo vs Lazio Wednesday 28 October 2026
- AS Roma vs Cagliari Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Torino vs Como Wednesday 28 October 2026
- AC Milan vs Bologna Thursday 29 October 2026
Parma Calcio vs Udinese: questions and answers
When is Parma Calcio vs Udinese?
Parma Calcio vs Udinese is on Thursday 29 October 2026, in Serie A.
Where is Parma Calcio vs Udinese played?
At Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma, Parma Calcio's home ground.
Who will win Parma Calcio vs Udinese?
It is close: Parma Calcio 34%, draw 30%, Udinese 36%. Our prediction is Parma Calcio 1-1 Udinese.
Who is the player to watch in Parma Calcio vs Udinese?
Mariano Troilo of Parma: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 62 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Parma Calcio vs Udinese?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.