Preston North End vs Norwich City Prediction and Stats | Championship Gameweek 18
Championship · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Deepdale, Preston · updated 2026-11-14
Preston North End welcome Norwich City to Deepdale in Preston in Championship Gameweek 18 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
Preston North End have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 13% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 8 matches, with a 100% win rate. Norwich City have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 47% of them. Away from home they average 2.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 8 matches, with a 57% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Norwich City are narrow favourites at 53%, with the draw at 23% and Preston North End at 24%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Preston North End 1.27, Norwich City 1.94.
- Over 2.5 goals: 62% · both teams to score: 62%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (15 and 15 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Preston North End: form and key numbers
In style Preston North End are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.13 a match created, 1.73 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.0).
- Shots: 11.7 a match, 2.4 on target.
- Possession: 39.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 7% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.69.
Norwich City: form and key numbers
In style Norwich City keep the ball, are strong in the air, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.57 a match created, 1.54 conceded (goals minus xG: +8.5).
- Shots: 14.7 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 52.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
Preston North End vs Norwich City: season averages side by side
| Preston North End | Per match this season | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Matches | 15 |
| 0.9 | Goals scored | 2.1 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 1.13 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.57 |
| 1.73 | xG conceded | 1.54 |
| 11.7 | Shots | 14.7 |
| 2.4 | On target | 5.3 |
| 39.3 | Possession % | 52.5 |
| 7% | Clean sheets % | 13% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 60% |
| 4.7 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.69 | Average rating | 6.83 |
Players to watch
Preston North End
- Liam Lindsay CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 40 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
- Andrija Vukcevic LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 37 · Crosser, Hard to dribble past (top 6% of his position)
Norwich City
- Jovon Makama CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 43 · Duel winner, Dominant in the air (top 24% of his position)
- Pelle Mattsson CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 41 · Reads the game, Chance creator (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Jordan Storey
Jordan Storey, 29 · Preston North End · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 42
Jordan Storey, 29, plays as a centre-back for Preston North End in the Championship. Strongest for his role in interceptions and aerial duels won. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 42
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | 3.04 / 90 | 95% |
| Aerial duels won | 4.61 / 90 | 91% |
| Fouls committed | 0.43 / 90 | 85% |
| Clearances | 8.17 / 90 | 78% |
| Duels won | 6.52 / 90 | 69% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★½ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Reads the game, Dominant in the air, Disciplined.
- What Jordan Storey is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Jordan Storey's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Preston North End vs Norwich City prediction
Norwich City should have more of the ball, with Preston North End likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 1.27 for Preston North End and 1.94 for Norwich City - with over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 62%. Norwich City have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Preston North End 1-2 Norwich City
Preston North End vs Norwich City: what the numbers say
- 1. Norwich City unbeaten (win or draw) 76% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 62% by the model, 3.21 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.1 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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- West Ham United vs Preston North End Saturday 21 November 2026
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Preston North End vs Norwich City: questions and answers
When is Preston North End vs Norwich City?
Preston North End vs Norwich City is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 18.
Where is Preston North End vs Norwich City played?
At Deepdale, Preston, Preston North End's home ground.
Who will win Preston North End vs Norwich City?
Norwich City are the favourites: Preston North End 24%, draw 23%, Norwich City 53%. Our prediction is Preston North End 1-2 Norwich City.
Who is the player to watch in Preston North End vs Norwich City?
Jordan Storey of Preston North End: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 42 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Preston North End vs Norwich City?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.