PSV vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction and Stats | Eredivisie Gameweek 14
Eredivisie · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Philips Stadion, Eindhoven · updated 2026-11-14
PSV welcome Go Ahead Eagles to Philips Stadion in Eindhoven in Eredivisie Gameweek 14 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
PSV have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 3.3 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 67% of them. At home they average 3.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. Go Ahead Eagles have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.4 goals scored and 2.7 conceded over 7 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, PSV are clear favourites at 72%, with the draw at 15% and Go Ahead Eagles at 13%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: PSV 2.93, Go Ahead Eagles 1.22.
- Over 2.5 goals: 78% · both teams to score: 67%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
PSV: form and key numbers
In style PSV keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.42 a match created, 1.23 conceded (goals minus xG: +10.9).
- Shots: 19.4 a match, 7.3 on target.
- Possession: 61.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.03.
Go Ahead Eagles: form and key numbers
In style Go Ahead Eagles keep the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.61 a match created, 1.68 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.7).
- Shots: 14.4 a match, 5.5 on target.
- Possession: 53.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 8% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
PSV vs Go Ahead Eagles: season averages side by side
| PSV | Per match this season | Go Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 3.3 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 2.3 |
| 2.42 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.61 |
| 1.23 | xG conceded | 1.68 |
| 19.4 | Shots | 14.4 |
| 7.3 | On target | 5.5 |
| 61.0 | Possession % | 53.5 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 8% |
| 83% | Both teams scored % | 83% |
| 6.4 | Corners | 5.3 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 0.8 |
| 7.03 | Average rating | 6.76 |
Players to watch
PSV
- Esmir Bajraktarevic RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 63 · High shot volume, Chance creator (top 18% of his position)
- Ivan Perisic RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 58 · Crosser, Creator (top 2% of his position)
Go Ahead Eagles
- Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 43 · Dominant in the air, Gets into scoring positions (top 18% of his position)
- Melle Meulensteen CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 37 · Press-resistant, Dribbler (top 15% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Sven Mijnans
Sven Mijnans, 26 · PSV · AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 69
Sven Mijnans, 26, plays as an attacking midfielder for PSV in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shots. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 69
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 62
- ST · Centre-forward Accomplished, 61
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.68 / 90 | 98% |
| Shots | 4.37 / 90 | 93% |
| Big chances created | 0.15 / 90 | 84% |
| Through balls | 0.00 / 90 | 83% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.19 / 90 | 76% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★★ Link-up forward Second striker
- ★★★½ Creator Attacking midfielder
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume, Big-chance creator.
⚠ 9 goals from only 4.5 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Sven Mijnans is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Sven Mijnans's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
PSV vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction
PSV should have more of the ball; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 4.1 goals - 2.93 for PSV and 1.22 for Go Ahead Eagles - with over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 67%. PSV have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: PSV 3-1 Go Ahead Eagles
PSV vs Go Ahead Eagles: what the numbers say
- 1. PSV win, the likeliest result 72% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 4 or more goals 59% by the model, 4.15 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 67% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.5 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 11.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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PSV vs Go Ahead Eagles: questions and answers
When is PSV vs Go Ahead Eagles?
PSV vs Go Ahead Eagles is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 14.
Where is PSV vs Go Ahead Eagles played?
At Philips Stadion, Eindhoven, PSV's home ground.
Who will win PSV vs Go Ahead Eagles?
PSV are the favourites: PSV 72%, draw 15%, Go Ahead Eagles 13%. Our prediction is PSV 3-1 Go Ahead Eagles.
Who is the player to watch in PSV vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Sven Mijnans of PSV: a shadow striker with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in PSV vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 78%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.