Real Betis vs Osasuna: Prediction, Odds and Preview
La Liga · Monday 12 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-07
Real Betis host Osasuna in the La Liga on Monday 12 October 2026. The bookmakers make Real Betis narrow favourites at 59%, with the draw at 23% and Osasuna at 17%, once the margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Real Betis -1 at 2.00, Osasuna at 1.90. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.97, under 1.92, which gives over 49%.
Form in numbers
- Real Betis create more: 1.60 expected goals a match against 1.19 for Osasuna.
- Osasuna give away less, 1.35 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Real Betis 17.4 (6.4 on target), Osasuna 9.3 (3.9 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Real Betis 54.7%, Osasuna 42.7%.
| Real Betis | Per match | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| 1.60 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.19 |
| 1.64 | xG conceded | 1.35 |
| 1.29 | Goals | 0.86 |
| 17.4 | Shots | 9.3 |
| 6.4 | Shots on target | 3.9 |
| 1.9 | Big chances missed | 1.3 |
| 54.7 | Pressure share % | 42.7 |
| 19.9 | Tackles | 15.7 |
| 9.7 | Fouls | 14.0 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 7 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Real Betis won 2, drew 2 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | Osasuna | 1 – 1 | Real Betis |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Real Betis | 2 – 0 | Osasuna |
| 11 May 2025 | Real Betis | 1 – 1 | Osasuna |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Osasuna | 1 – 2 | Real Betis |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.