Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa Prediction and Stats | Süper Lig Gameweek 13
Süper Lig · Friday 27 November 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize · updated 2026-11-14
Rizespor welcome Kasımpaşa to Çaykur Didi Stadyumu in Rize in Süper Lig Gameweek 13 action on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Rizespor have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 36% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 25% win rate. Kasımpaşa have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 45% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 80% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Rizespor 37%, the draw 29%, Kasımpaşa 35%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Rizespor 1.25, Kasımpaşa 1.21.
- Over 2.5 goals: 45% · both teams to score: 51%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Rizespor: form and key numbers
In style Rizespor keep the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.59 a match created, 1.30 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.5).
- Shots: 16.2 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 54.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Kasımpaşa: form and key numbers
In style Kasımpaşa are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.23 a match created, 1.21 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.5).
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 42.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (75% away).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa: season averages side by side
| Rizespor | Per match this season | Kasımpaşa |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.59 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.23 |
| 1.30 | xG conceded | 1.21 |
| 16.2 | Shots | 12.7 |
| 5.0 | On target | 4.3 |
| 54.0 | Possession % | 42.4 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 36% |
| 45% | Both teams scored % | 64% |
| 5.1 | Corners | 4.0 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| 6.89 | Average rating | 6.84 |
Players to watch
Rizespor
- Zakaria Ariss LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 41 · Reads the game, Creator (top 7% of his position)
- Taylan Antalyalı DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 41 · Press-resistant, Disciplined (top 8% of his position)
Kasımpaşa
- Haris Hajradinovic AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 42 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 7% of his position)
- Andreas Gianniotis GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 40 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 35% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Qazim Laci
Qazim Laci, 30 · Rizespor · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 43
Qazim Laci, 30, plays as a central midfielder for Rizespor in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in interceptions. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 43
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 39
- DM · Defensive midfielder Accomplished, 33
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.66 / 90 | 98% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.36 / 90 | 95% |
| Long balls | 4.57 / 90 | 92% |
| Expected goals | 0.24 / 90 | 82% |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 59% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★ Creator Attacking midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator, Long passer.
- What Qazim Laci is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Qazim Laci's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa prediction
Rizespor should have more of the ball, with Kasımpaşa likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Rizespor work the ball wide and cross; Kasımpaşa go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.25 for Rizespor and 1.21 for Kasımpaşa - with over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 51%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Rizespor 1-1 Kasımpaşa
Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 37%
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 55% by the model, 2.46 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.4 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 9.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Süper Lig previews
- Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K. Saturday 21 November 2026
- Galatasaray vs Samsunspor Saturday 21 November 2026
- Amed SK vs Rizespor Saturday 21 November 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahçe Saturday 21 November 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Göztepe Sunday 22 November 2026
- Konyaspor vs Beşiktaş Sunday 22 November 2026
- Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor Sunday 22 November 2026
- Trabzonspor vs Eyüpspor Sunday 22 November 2026
Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa: questions and answers
When is Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa?
Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa is on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 13.
Where is Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa played?
At Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize, Rizespor's home ground.
Who will win Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa?
It is close: Rizespor 37%, draw 29%, Kasımpaşa 35%. Our prediction is Rizespor 1-1 Kasımpaşa.
Who is the player to watch in Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa?
Qazim Laci of Rizespor: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 43 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.