Sabah vs FC Barcelona Prediction and Stats | Champions League Gameweek 5
Champions League · Wednesday 25 November 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Bank Respublika Arena, Masazyr · updated 2026-11-13
Sabah welcome FC Barcelona to Bank Respublika Arena in Masazyr in Champions League Gameweek 5 action on Wednesday 25 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Sabah have played 4 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.5 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 71% win rate. FC Barcelona have played 4 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 3.5 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 75% of them. Away from home they average 3.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, FC Barcelona are clear favourites at 86%, with the draw at 9% and Sabah at 5%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Sabah 1.00, FC Barcelona 3.76.
- Over 2.5 goals: 85% · both teams to score: 62%.
- Most likely score: 1–4 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Sabah: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.06 a match created (goals minus xG: +9.3).
- Shots: 15.5 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 50.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 42% of matches (80% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
FC Barcelona: form and key numbers
In style FC Barcelona keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 2.35 a match created (goals minus xG: +4.6).
- Shots: 20.0 a match, 8.3 on target.
- Possession: 65.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.05.
Sabah vs FC Barcelona: season averages side by side
| Sabah | Per match this season | FC Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 4 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 3.5 |
| 2.5 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 1.06 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.35 |
| 15.5 | Shots | 20.0 |
| 5.3 | On target | 8.3 |
| 50.9 | Possession % | 65.3 |
| 42% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 5.4 | Corners | 4.3 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 0.8 |
| 6.75 | Average rating | 7.05 |
Players to watch
FC Barcelona
- Dani Olmo AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 84 · Creator, Big-chance creator (top 1% of his position)
- Karim Adeyemi RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 76 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal, 19 · FC Barcelona · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 91
Lamine Yamal, 19, plays as a winger for FC Barcelona in La Liga. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and shots. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 91
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 86
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 83
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.62 / 90 | 100% |
| Shots | 5.79 / 90 | 100% |
| Big chances created | 1.36 / 90 | 100% |
| Expected goals | 0.68 / 90 | 99% |
| Key passes | 3.80 / 90 | 99% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator, High shot volume, Big-chance creator.
- What Lamine Yamal is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Lamine Yamal's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Sabah vs FC Barcelona prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 4.8 goals - 1.00 for Sabah and 3.76 for FC Barcelona - with over 2.5 goals at 85% and both teams scoring at 62%. FC Barcelona have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Sabah 1-4 FC Barcelona
Sabah vs FC Barcelona: what the numbers say
- 1. FC Barcelona win, the likeliest result 86% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 4 or more goals 70% by the model, 4.76 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.4 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Sabah vs FC Barcelona: questions and answers
When is Sabah vs FC Barcelona?
Sabah vs FC Barcelona is on Wednesday 25 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC, in Champions League Gameweek 5.
Where is Sabah vs FC Barcelona played?
At Bank Respublika Arena, Masazyr, Sabah's home ground.
Who will win Sabah vs FC Barcelona?
FC Barcelona are the favourites: Sabah 5%, draw 9%, FC Barcelona 86%. Our prediction is Sabah 1-4 FC Barcelona.
Who is the player to watch in Sabah vs FC Barcelona?
Lamine Yamal of FC Barcelona: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 91 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Sabah vs FC Barcelona?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 85%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.