São Paulo vs Remo Prediction and Stats | Brasileirão Gameweek 37
Brasileirão · Thursday 26 November 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estádio Nicolau Alayon, São Paulo · updated 2026-11-13
São Paulo welcome Remo to Estádio Nicolau Alayon in São Paulo in Brasileirão Gameweek 37 action on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
São Paulo have played 34 matches in Brasileirão this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 35% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 17 matches, with a 83% win rate. Remo have played 34 matches in Brasileirão this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 18% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded over 17 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, São Paulo are narrow favourites at 58%, with the draw at 24% and Remo at 18%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: São Paulo 1.80, Remo 0.91.
- Over 2.5 goals: 51% · both teams to score: 51%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (34 and 34 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
São Paulo: form and key numbers
In style São Paulo keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.45 a match created, 1.23 conceded (goals minus xG: -10.4).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 4.2 on target.
- Possession: 53.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 24% of matches (88% at home).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Remo: form and key numbers
In style Remo are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.08 a match created, 1.75 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.2).
- Shots: 12.9 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 43.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 12% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 62% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
São Paulo vs Remo: season averages side by side
| São Paulo | Per match this season | Remo |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Matches | 34 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 1.45 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.08 |
| 1.23 | xG conceded | 1.75 |
| 13.7 | Shots | 12.9 |
| 4.2 | On target | 3.9 |
| 53.3 | Possession % | 43.6 |
| 24% | Clean sheets % | 12% |
| 56% | Both teams scored % | 62% |
| 6.8 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.84 | Average rating | 6.75 |
Players to watch
São Paulo
- Pedro Lima RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 71 · Hard to dribble past, Reads the game (top 8% of his position)
- Ferreirinha LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 64 · Dribbler, Draws fouls (top 4% of his position)
Remo
- João Pedro CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 52 · Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions (top 4% of his position)
- Tchamba CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 48 · Disciplined, Box defender (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Marcos Antônio
Marcos Antônio, 26 · São Paulo · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 58
Marcos Antônio, 26, plays as a central midfielder for São Paulo in the Brasileirão. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and long balls. Weakest in interceptions. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 58
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 50
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 43
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 87% |
| Long balls | 2.97 / 90 | 81% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.20 / 90 | 78% |
| Passes | 65.20 / 90 | 76% |
| Key passes | 1.72 / 90 | 75% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★★★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Secure passer, Long passer.
- What Marcos Antônio is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Marcos Antônio's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
São Paulo vs Remo prediction
São Paulo should have more of the ball, with Remo likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; São Paulo work the ball wide and cross; Remo go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.80 for São Paulo and 0.91 for Remo - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 51%. São Paulo have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: São Paulo 2-1 Remo
São Paulo vs Remo: what the numbers say
- 1. São Paulo win, the likeliest result 58% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.71 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 12.5 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 or more corners 11.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Brasileirão previews
- Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro Saturday 14 November 2026
- Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama Saturday 14 November 2026
- Coritiba vs Santos Wednesday 18 November 2026
- Remo vs Chapecoense Wednesday 18 November 2026
- Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras Wednesday 18 November 2026
- Flamengo vs Athletico PR Wednesday 18 November 2026
- Grêmio vs Bahia Thursday 19 November 2026
- Corinthians vs Botafogo Thursday 19 November 2026
São Paulo vs Remo: questions and answers
When is São Paulo vs Remo?
São Paulo vs Remo is on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC, in Brasileirão Gameweek 37.
Where is São Paulo vs Remo played?
At Estádio Nicolau Alayon, São Paulo, São Paulo's home ground.
Who will win São Paulo vs Remo?
São Paulo are the favourites: São Paulo 58%, draw 24%, Remo 18%. Our prediction is São Paulo 2-1 Remo.
Who is the player to watch in São Paulo vs Remo?
Marcos Antônio of São Paulo: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 58 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in São Paulo vs Remo?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.