SC Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction and Stats | Eredivisie Gameweek 14
Eredivisie · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Kooi Stadion · updated 2026-11-14
SC Cambuur welcome Sparta Rotterdam to Kooi Stadion in Eredivisie Gameweek 14 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
SC Cambuur have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.9 conceded over 7 matches, with a 50% win rate. Sparta Rotterdam have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.4 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 67% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, SC Cambuur are narrow favourites at 50%, with the draw at 21% and Sparta Rotterdam at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: SC Cambuur 2.19, Sparta Rotterdam 1.65.
- Over 2.5 goals: 74% · both teams to score: 72%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (6%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
SC Cambuur: form and key numbers
In style SC Cambuur are happy without the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.39 a match created, 1.72 conceded (goals minus xG: +8.4).
- Shots: 12.5 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 46.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Sparta Rotterdam: form and key numbers
In style Sparta Rotterdam are happy without the ball, play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.73 a match created, 2.05 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.3).
- Shots: 13.9 a match, 5.1 on target.
- Possession: 44.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
SC Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam: season averages side by side
| SC Cambuur | Per match this season | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 2.1 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 2.3 | Goals conceded | 2.4 |
| 1.39 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.73 |
| 1.72 | xG conceded | 2.05 |
| 12.5 | Shots | 13.9 |
| 5.0 | On target | 5.1 |
| 46.0 | Possession % | 44.7 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 83% |
| 3.8 | Corners | 6.0 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
| 6.77 | Average rating | 6.74 |
Players to watch
SC Cambuur
- Ilyes Hamache LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 32 · Dribbler, Press-resistant (top 25% of his position)
- Lucas Jetten LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 30 · Secure passer, Creator (top 31% of his position)
Sparta Rotterdam
- Casper Terho RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 36 · Crosser, Big-chance creator (top 27% of his position)
- Nick Verschuren CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 35 · Hard to dribble past, Blocks shots (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Milan Zonneveld
Milan Zonneveld, 23 · Sparta Rotterdam · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 48
Milan Zonneveld, 23, plays as a centre-forward for Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and key passes. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 48
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 45
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 5.93 / 90 | 96% |
| Key passes | 2.05 / 90 | 78% |
| Duels won | 7.76 / 90 | 71% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 xG/shot | 68% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.63 / 90 | 62% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★½ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air.
- What Milan Zonneveld is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Milan Zonneveld's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
SC Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction
SC Cambuur should have more of the ball; SC Cambuur like to take players on; Sparta Rotterdam go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals - 2.19 for SC Cambuur and 1.65 for Sparta Rotterdam - with over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 72%. SC Cambuur have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: SC Cambuur 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam
SC Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam: what the numbers say
- 1. SC Cambuur unbeaten (win or draw) 71% between them
- 2. 4 or more goals 53% by the model, 3.84 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 72% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.3 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Eredivisie previews
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- Feyenoord vs Excelsior Saturday 21 November 2026
- FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur Saturday 21 November 2026
- Telstar vs PEC Zwolle Saturday 21 November 2026
- FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen Saturday 21 November 2026
- FC Twente vs Willem II Sunday 22 November 2026
- Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar Sunday 22 November 2026
- Ajax vs ADO Den Haag Sunday 22 November 2026
SC Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam: questions and answers
When is SC Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam?
SC Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 14.
Where is SC Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
At Kooi Stadion, SC Cambuur's home ground.
Who will win SC Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam?
SC Cambuur are the favourites: SC Cambuur 50%, draw 21%, Sparta Rotterdam 29%. Our prediction is SC Cambuur 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam.
Who is the player to watch in SC Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Milan Zonneveld of Sparta Rotterdam: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 48 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in SC Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 74%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.