Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake Prediction and Stats
MLS · Friday 20 November 2026 · 03:00 UTC · Seattle Stadium, Seattle · updated 2026-11-13
Seattle Sounders welcome Real Salt Lake to Seattle Stadium in Seattle in MLS action on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 03:00 UTC.
Seattle Sounders have played 34 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 35% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 17 matches, with a 67% win rate. Real Salt Lake have played 34 matches in MLS this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 38% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 17 matches, with a 23% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Seattle Sounders 40%, the draw 27%, Real Salt Lake 33%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Seattle Sounders 1.43, Real Salt Lake 1.29.
- Over 2.5 goals: 51% · both teams to score: 56%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (34 and 34 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Seattle Sounders: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.44 a match created, 1.63 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.9).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 4.9 on target.
- Possession: 51.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 24% of matches (38% at home).
- Both teams scored in 59% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Real Salt Lake: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.50 a match created, 1.49 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.9).
- Shots: 14.5 a match, 5.5 on target.
- Possession: 49.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 12% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake: season averages side by side
| Seattle Sounders | Per match this season | Real Salt Lake |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Matches | 34 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 1.44 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.50 |
| 1.63 | xG conceded | 1.49 |
| 13.7 | Shots | 14.5 |
| 4.9 | On target | 5.5 |
| 51.3 | Possession % | 49.3 |
| 24% | Clean sheets % | 12% |
| 59% | Both teams scored % | 71% |
| 5.4 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.85 | Average rating | 6.87 |
Players to watch
Seattle Sounders
- Andrew Thomas GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 38 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 28% of his position)
- Paul Arriola RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 29 · Gets into scoring positions, Big-chance creator (top 13% of his position)
Real Salt Lake
- Victor Olatunji CF · Pressing forward · Moneyball Score 41 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 8% of his position)
- Diego Luna LMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 40 · Chance creator, Creator (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Albert Rusnák
Albert Rusnák, 32 · Seattle Sounders · AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 40
Albert Rusnák, 32, plays as an attacking midfielder for Seattle Sounders in the MLS. Strongest for his role in dispossessed and pass accuracy. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 40
- LW · Winger Competent, 22
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Dispossessed | 0.42 / 90 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 93% |
| Key passes | 3.23 / 90 | 79% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.34 / 90 | 72% |
| Through balls | 0.03 / 90 | 58% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Creator Attacking midfielder
- ★★★½ Link-up forward Second striker
- ★★★ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: Press-resistant, Secure passer.
- What Albert Rusnák is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Albert Rusnák's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake prediction
Seattle Sounders should have more of the ball. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.43 for Seattle Sounders and 1.29 for Real Salt Lake - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 56%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Seattle Sounders 1-1 Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 40%
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.73 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 56% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.9 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 10.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake: questions and answers
When is Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?
Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake is on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 03:00 UTC, in MLS.
Where is Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake played?
At Seattle Stadium, Seattle, Seattle Sounders's home ground.
Who will win Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?
It is close: Seattle Sounders 40%, draw 27%, Real Salt Lake 33%. Our prediction is Seattle Sounders 1-1 Real Salt Lake.
Who is the player to watch in Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?
Albert Rusnák of Seattle Sounders: a creator with a Moneyball Score of 40 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.