Vancouver Whitecaps vs TBC Prediction and Stats
MLS · Monday 23 November 2026 · 01:30 UTC · Vancouver Stadium, Vancouver · updated 2026-11-13
Vancouver Whitecaps welcome TBC to Vancouver Stadium in Vancouver in MLS action on Monday 23 November 2026, kick-off 01:30 UTC.
Vancouver Whitecaps have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average. TBC have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Vancouver Whitecaps are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 24% and TBC at 31%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Vancouver Whitecaps 1.79, TBC 1.48.
- Over 2.5 goals: 63% · both teams to score: 65%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (0 and 0 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Vancouver Whitecaps vs TBC prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.79 for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.48 for TBC - with over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 65%. Vancouver Whitecaps have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 TBC
Vancouver Whitecaps vs TBC: what the numbers say
- 1. Vancouver Whitecaps unbeaten (win or draw) 69% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 63% by the model, 3.27 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 65% by the model
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More MLS previews
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- Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake Friday 20 November 2026
- New England vs Philadelphia Union Saturday 21 November 2026
- Dallas vs Portland Timbers Saturday 21 November 2026
- Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew Saturday 21 November 2026
- Nashville SC vs TBC Sunday 22 November 2026
- Chicago Fire vs Charlotte Sunday 22 November 2026
- St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC Tuesday 24 November 2026
Vancouver Whitecaps vs TBC: questions and answers
When is Vancouver Whitecaps vs TBC?
Vancouver Whitecaps vs TBC is on Monday 23 November 2026, kick-off 01:30 UTC, in MLS.
Where is Vancouver Whitecaps vs TBC played?
At Vancouver Stadium, Vancouver, Vancouver Whitecaps's home ground.
Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs TBC?
Vancouver Whitecaps are the favourites: Vancouver Whitecaps 45%, draw 24%, TBC 31%. Our prediction is Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 TBC.
How many goals will there be in Vancouver Whitecaps vs TBC?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.