Sint-Truiden vs Genk Prediction and Stats | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13
Belgian Pro League · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Stayen Stadion, St.-Trond · updated 2026-11-15
Sint-Truiden welcome Genk to Stayen Stadion in St.-Trond in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
Sint-Truiden have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 27% of them. At home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 67% win rate. Genk have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 36% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Sint-Truiden 41%, the draw 23%, Genk 36%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Sint-Truiden 1.86, Genk 1.75.
- Over 2.5 goals: 70% · both teams to score: 70%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (5%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Sint-Truiden: form and key numbers
In style Sint-Truiden keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.21 a match created, 1.64 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.4).
- Shots: 16.2 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 57.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Genk: form and key numbers
In style Genk keep the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.97 a match created, 1.22 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.6).
- Shots: 14.4 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 54.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
Sint-Truiden vs Genk: season averages side by side
| Sint-Truiden | Per match this season | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 2.0 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 2.21 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.97 |
| 1.64 | xG conceded | 1.22 |
| 16.2 | Shots | 14.4 |
| 5.0 | On target | 4.5 |
| 57.3 | Possession % | 54.5 |
| 9% | Clean sheets % | 27% |
| 64% | Both teams scored % | 45% |
| 6.1 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.87 | Average rating | 6.90 |
Players to watch
Sint-Truiden
- Visar Musliu CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 66 · Long passer, Dominant in the air (top 12% of his position)
- Robert-Jan Vanwesemael RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 54 · Crosser, Gets into scoring positions (top 21% of his position)
Genk
- Rafiu Durosinmi CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 61 · Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots (top 3% of his position)
- Jeppe Erenbjerg AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 51 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ilias Sebaoui
Ilias Sebaoui, 25 · Sint-Truiden · LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 61
Ilias Sebaoui, 25, plays as a winger for Sint-Truiden in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shots. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 61
- LM · Wide midfielder Competent, 37
- RW · Winger Competent, 37
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.65 / 90 | 98% |
| Shots | 3.88 / 90 | 93% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.95 / 90 | 70% |
| Big chances created | 0.38 / 90 | 59% |
| Fouls won | 1.99 / 90 | 54% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume.
- What Ilias Sebaoui is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ilias Sebaoui's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Sint-Truiden vs Genk prediction
Sint-Truiden should have more of the ball; Sint-Truiden work the ball wide and cross; Genk are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals - 1.86 for Sint-Truiden and 1.75 for Genk - with over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 70%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Sint-Truiden 2-2 Genk
Sint-Truiden vs Genk: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 41%
- 2. 3 or more goals 70% by the model, 3.62 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 70% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.9 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 11.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo Friday 20 November 2026
- Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden Saturday 21 November 2026
- Genk vs La Louvière Saturday 21 November 2026
- Mechelen vs Club Brugge Saturday 21 November 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp Saturday 21 November 2026
- SK Beveren vs Gent Sunday 22 November 2026
- KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Sunday 22 November 2026
- Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026
Sint-Truiden vs Genk: questions and answers
When is Sint-Truiden vs Genk?
Sint-Truiden vs Genk is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Sint-Truiden vs Genk played?
At Stayen Stadion, St.-Trond, Sint-Truiden's home ground.
Who will win Sint-Truiden vs Genk?
It is close: Sint-Truiden 41%, draw 23%, Genk 36%. Our prediction is Sint-Truiden 2-2 Genk.
Who is the player to watch in Sint-Truiden vs Genk?
Ilias Sebaoui of Sint-Truiden: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 61 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Sint-Truiden vs Genk?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.