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Sporting CP vs LASK: Prediction, Stats and Preview

Champions League · Wednesday 21 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa · updated 2026-10-09

Sporting CP host LASK in the Champions League on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at Estádio José Alvalade. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Sporting CP favourites at 47%, puts the draw at 24% and expects about 3.2 goals.

Moneyball's estimate

Sporting CP47%fair odds 2.11
Draw24%fair odds 4.18
LASK29%fair odds 3.49

From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (1 and 3 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.

Season statistics

Sporting CPPer match this seasonLASK
1Matches3
3.0Goals scored1.7
1.0Goals conceded1.7
1.38Expected goals (xG)2.28
8.0Shots23.7
5.0On target6.3
38.0Possession %45.0
0%Clean sheets %0%
100%Both teams scored %33%
1.0Corners5.3
2.0Yellow cards2.0
6.76Average rating6.94

Averages per match from Sportmonks.

The full analysis

Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.