Standard Liège vs Club Brugge Prediction and Stats | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13
Belgian Pro League · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liege · updated 2026-11-15
Standard Liège welcome Club Brugge to Stade Maurice Dufrasne in Liege in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Standard Liège have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 36% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 6 matches, with a 75% win rate. Club Brugge have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 82% of them. Away from home they average 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 44% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Club Brugge are narrow favourites at 53%, with the draw at 22% and Standard Liège at 25%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Standard Liège 1.41, Club Brugge 2.12.
- Over 2.5 goals: 69% · both teams to score: 67%.
- Most likely score: 1–3 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Standard Liège: form and key numbers
In style Standard Liège press high, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.88 a match created, 1.83 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.7).
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 52.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Club Brugge: form and key numbers
In style Club Brugge keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.63 a match created, 1.27 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.0).
- Shots: 18.0 a match, 6.8 on target.
- Possession: 64.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 45% of matches (40% away).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 8.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.08.
Standard Liège vs Club Brugge: season averages side by side
| Standard Liège | Per match this season | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 2.5 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 1.88 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.63 |
| 1.83 | xG conceded | 1.27 |
| 12.7 | Shots | 18.0 |
| 4.8 | On target | 6.8 |
| 52.1 | Possession % | 64.3 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 45% |
| 64% | Both teams scored % | 55% |
| 5.8 | Corners | 8.4 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 6.89 | Average rating | 7.08 |
Players to watch
Standard Liège
- Dennis Eckert Ayensa CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 62 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 3% of his position)
- Marlon Fossey RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 52 · Hard to dribble past, Reads the game (top 8% of his position)
Club Brugge
- Brandon Mechele CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 76 · Ball circulator, Ball-winner (top 3% of his position)
- Carlos Forbs RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 75 · Creator, Big-chance creator (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Nicolò Tresoldi
Nicolò Tresoldi, 22 · Club Brugge · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 77
Nicolò Tresoldi, 22, plays as a centre-forward for Club Brugge in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and expected goals. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 77
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 65
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 xG/shot | 99% |
| Expected goals | 0.92 / 90 | 97% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.90 / 90 | 96% |
| Shots | 3.64 / 90 | 84% |
| Duels won | 4.79 / 90 | 65% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★ Target man Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring.
- What Nicolò Tresoldi is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Nicolò Tresoldi's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Standard Liège vs Club Brugge prediction
Club Brugge should have more of the ball; Standard Liège are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Club Brugge work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals - 1.41 for Standard Liège and 2.12 for Club Brugge - with over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 67%. Club Brugge have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Standard Liège 1-3 Club Brugge
Standard Liège vs Club Brugge: what the numbers say
- 1. Club Brugge unbeaten (win or draw) 75% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 69% by the model, 3.53 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 67% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.7 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 14.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo Friday 20 November 2026
- Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden Saturday 21 November 2026
- Genk vs La Louvière Saturday 21 November 2026
- Mechelen vs Club Brugge Saturday 21 November 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp Saturday 21 November 2026
- SK Beveren vs Gent Sunday 22 November 2026
- KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Sunday 22 November 2026
- Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026
Standard Liège vs Club Brugge: questions and answers
When is Standard Liège vs Club Brugge?
Standard Liège vs Club Brugge is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Standard Liège vs Club Brugge played?
At Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liege, Standard Liège's home ground.
Who will win Standard Liège vs Club Brugge?
Club Brugge are the favourites: Standard Liège 25%, draw 22%, Club Brugge 53%. Our prediction is Standard Liège 1-3 Club Brugge.
Who is the player to watch in Standard Liège vs Club Brugge?
Nicolò Tresoldi of Club Brugge: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 77 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Standard Liège vs Club Brugge?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.