TBC vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction and Stats
MLS · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 03:00 UTC · updated 2026-11-14
TBC welcome Vancouver Whitecaps in MLS action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 03:00 UTC.
TBC have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average. Vancouver Whitecaps have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, TBC are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 24% and Vancouver Whitecaps at 31%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: TBC 1.79, Vancouver Whitecaps 1.48.
- Over 2.5 goals: 63% · both teams to score: 65%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (0 and 0 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
TBC vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.79 for TBC and 1.48 for Vancouver Whitecaps - with over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 65%. TBC have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: TBC 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
TBC vs Vancouver Whitecaps: what the numbers say
- 1. TBC unbeaten (win or draw) 69% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 63% by the model, 3.27 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 65% by the model
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More MLS previews
- Orlando City vs Cincinnati Friday 20 November 2026
- Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake Friday 20 November 2026
- New England vs Philadelphia Union Saturday 21 November 2026
- Dallas vs Portland Timbers Saturday 21 November 2026
- Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew Saturday 21 November 2026
- Nashville SC vs TBC Sunday 22 November 2026
- Chicago Fire vs Charlotte Sunday 22 November 2026
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs TBC Monday 23 November 2026
TBC vs Vancouver Whitecaps: questions and answers
When is TBC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
TBC vs Vancouver Whitecaps is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 03:00 UTC, in MLS.
Who will win TBC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
TBC are the favourites: TBC 45%, draw 24%, Vancouver Whitecaps 31%. Our prediction is TBC 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps.
How many goals will there be in TBC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.