Torino vs Como Prediction and Betting Tips | Serie A Gameweek 9
Serie A · Tuesday 27 October 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino · updated 2026-10-13
Torino welcome Como to Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in Torino in Serie A Gameweek 9 action on Tuesday 27 October 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Torino have played 6 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Como have played 6 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 67% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Como are narrow favourites at 42%, with the draw at 27% and Torino at 31%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Torino 1.27, Como 1.51.
- Over 2.5 goals: 53% · both teams to score: 57%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (13%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Torino: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.07 a match created, 1.66 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.6).
- Shots: 9.8 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 51.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 0.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Como: form and key numbers
In style Como keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.82 a match created, 1.53 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.9).
- Shots: 22.7 a match, 6.7 on target.
- Possession: 62.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.03.
Torino vs Como: season averages side by side
| Torino | Per match this season | Como |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 6 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.07 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.82 |
| 1.66 | xG conceded | 1.53 |
| 9.8 | Shots | 22.7 |
| 3.2 | On target | 6.7 |
| 51.2 | Possession % | 62.3 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 83% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 3.5 | Corners | 7.7 |
| 0.7 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
| 6.72 | Average rating | 7.03 |
Players to watch
Torino
- Alieu Njie WF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 66 · Chance creator, Draws fouls (top 10% of his position)
- Ardian Ismajli CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 61 · Box defender, Reads the game (top 8% of his position)
Como
- Lucas Da Cunha CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 77 · Press-resistant, Secure passer (top 2% of his position)
- Luis Milla CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 72 · Reads the game, Creator (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Assane Diao
Assane Diao, 21 · Como · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 70
Assane Diao, 21, plays as a winger for Como in Serie A. Strongest for his role in key passes and dispossessed. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 70
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 66
- LM · Wide midfielder Competent, 63
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.38 / 90 | 96% |
| Dispossessed | 0.42 / 90 | 94% |
| Successful dribbles | 3.17 / 90 | 90% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.35 / 90 | 89% |
| Big chances created | 0.42 / 90 | 71% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Press-resistant, Dribbler.
- What Assane Diao is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Assane Diao's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Torino vs Como prediction
Como should have more of the ball, with Torino likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Como work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.27 for Torino and 1.51 for Como - with over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 57%. Como have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Torino 1-2 Como
Torino vs Como betting tips
- Tip 1: Como win or draw (double chance) 69% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.79 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (53%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 1.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Serie A previews
- Torino vs Monza Friday 23 October 2026
- Como vs Sassuolo Saturday 24 October 2026
- Cagliari vs Bologna Saturday 24 October 2026
- Napoli vs Roma Saturday 24 October 2026
- Lazio vs Parma Saturday 24 October 2026
- Inter vs Fiorentina Sunday 25 October 2026
- Genoa vs Venezia Sunday 25 October 2026
- Atalanta vs Frosinone Sunday 25 October 2026
Torino vs Como: questions and answers
When is Torino vs Como?
Torino vs Como is on Tuesday 27 October 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Serie A Gameweek 9.
Where is Torino vs Como played?
At Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino, Torino's home ground.
Who will win Torino vs Como?
Como are the favourites: Torino 31%, draw 27%, Como 42%. Our prediction is Torino 1-2 Como.
Who is the player to watch in Torino vs Como?
Assane Diao of Como: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 70 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Torino vs Como?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.