Udinese vs AS Roma Prediction and Betting Tips
Serie A · Sunday 1 November 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
Udinese welcome AS Roma to Dacia Arena in Udine in Serie A action on Sunday 1 November 2026.
Udinese have played 8 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 13% of them. At home they average 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 0% win rate. AS Roma have played 8 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 63% of them. Away from home they average 2.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 40% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, AS Roma are narrow favourites at 58%, with the draw at 23% and Udinese at 19%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.3% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Udinese +1 at 1.83, AS Roma at 2.07. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.85, under 2.03, which gives over 52%.
Udinese: form and key numbers
In style Udinese cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.04 a match created, 1.96 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.7).
- Shots: 14.0 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 49.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
AS Roma: form and key numbers
In style AS Roma keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.13 a match created, 1.21 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.0).
- Shots: 18.9 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 56.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 63% of matches (60% away).
- Both teams scored in 38% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.07.
Udinese vs AS Roma: season averages side by side
| Udinese | Per match | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| 1.04 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.13 |
| 1.96 | xG conceded | 1.21 |
| 1.13 | Goals | 2.38 |
| 14.0 | Shots | 18.9 |
| 4.0 | Shots on target | 5.8 |
| 1.0 | Big chances missed | 2.0 |
| 46.9 | Pressure share % | 61.3 |
| 15.4 | Tackles | 18.1 |
| 11.0 | Fouls | 11.9 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 8 measured matches.
Udinese vs AS Roma: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Udinese have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Udinese 2, AS Roma 7 - 2.3 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Udinese 1-0 AS Roma (February 2nd 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Udinese won 1, drew 0 and lost 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | Udinese | 1 – 0 | AS Roma |
| 9 Nov 2025 | AS Roma | 2 – 0 | Udinese |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Udinese | 1 – 2 | AS Roma |
| 22 Sep 2024 | AS Roma | 3 – 0 | Udinese |
Players to watch
Udinese
- Lennon Miller CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 54 · Dribbler, Reads the game (top 10% of his position)
- Christian Kabasele CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 54 · Blocks shots, Hard to dribble past (top 6% of his position)
AS Roma
- Paulo Dybala SS · Link-up forward · Moneyball Score 74 · Chance creator, Creator (top 3% of his position)
- Donyell Malen CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 71 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Matías Soulé
Matías Soulé, 23 · Roma · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 76
Matías Soulé, 23, plays as a winger for Roma in Serie A. Strongest for his role in shots and accurate crosses. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 76
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 69
- ST · Centre-forward Accomplished, 61
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 3.94 / 90 | 95% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.43 / 90 | 90% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.86 / 90 | 87% |
| Expected goals | 0.32 / 90 | 78% |
| Key passes | 2.15 / 90 | 78% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Crosser, Dribbler.
- What Matías Soulé is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Matías Soulé's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Udinese vs AS Roma prediction
AS Roma should have more of the ball, with Udinese likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.03 for Udinese and 2.30 for AS Roma - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 59%. AS Roma have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Udinese 1-2 AS Roma
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Udinese vs AS Roma betting tips
- Tip 1: AS Roma to win 58% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 65% by the model, 3.34 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More Serie A previews
- Lecce vs Juventus Monday 26 October 2026
- Udinese vs AC Milan Monday 26 October 2026
- Sassuolo vs Lazio Wednesday 28 October 2026
- AS Roma vs Cagliari Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Torino vs Como Wednesday 28 October 2026
- AC Milan vs Bologna Thursday 29 October 2026
Udinese vs AS Roma: questions and answers
When is Udinese vs AS Roma?
Udinese vs AS Roma is on Sunday 1 November 2026, in Serie A.
Where is Udinese vs AS Roma played?
At Dacia Arena, Udine, Udinese's home ground.
Who will win Udinese vs AS Roma?
AS Roma are the favourites: Udinese 19%, draw 23%, AS Roma 58%. Our prediction is Udinese 1-2 AS Roma.
Who is the player to watch in Udinese vs AS Roma?
Matías Soulé of Roma: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 76 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Udinese vs AS Roma?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.