Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent Prediction and Stats | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13
Belgian Pro League · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 18:15 UTC · Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels · updated 2026-11-15
Union Saint-Gilloise welcome Gent to Stade Joseph Mariën in Brussels in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 18:15 UTC.
Union Saint-Gilloise have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.6 goals a game and winning 82% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 44% win rate. Gent have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.6 goals a game and winning 82% of them. Away from home they average 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Union Saint-Gilloise are narrow favourites at 47%, with the draw at 28% and Gent at 25%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Union Saint-Gilloise 1.48, Gent 1.01.
- Over 2.5 goals: 45% · both teams to score: 50%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Union Saint-Gilloise: form and key numbers
In style Union Saint-Gilloise keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.93 a match created, 1.11 conceded (goals minus xG: +8.8).
- Shots: 16.9 a match, 7.2 on target.
- Possession: 52.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 55% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.07.
Gent: form and key numbers
In style Gent are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.54 a match created, 1.03 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.0).
- Shots: 11.3 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 45.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 55% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.97.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent: season averages side by side
| Union Saint-Gilloise | Per match this season | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 2.7 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 0.6 | Goals conceded | 0.6 |
| 1.93 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.54 |
| 1.11 | xG conceded | 1.03 |
| 16.9 | Shots | 11.3 |
| 7.2 | On target | 5.2 |
| 52.8 | Possession % | 45.7 |
| 55% | Clean sheets % | 55% |
| 45% | Both teams scored % | 36% |
| 6.7 | Corners | 4.3 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
| 7.07 | Average rating | 6.97 |
Players to watch
Union Saint-Gilloise
- Adem Zorgane CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 60 · Creator, Long passer (top 9% of his position)
- Besfort Zeneli CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 55 · Chance creator, Creator (top 2% of his position)
Gent
- José Mendieta CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 59 · Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots (top 9% of his position)
- Maksim Paskotsi CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 51 · Dominant in the air, Ball-winner (top 38% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Massiré Sylla
Massiré Sylla, 21 · Union Saint-Gilloise · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 68
Massiré Sylla, 21, plays as a centre-back for Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in duels won and tackles. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 68
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Duels won | 9.50 / 90 | 99% |
| Tackles | 3.60 / 90 | 96% |
| Clearances | 7.90 / 90 | 96% |
| Interceptions | 3.20 / 90 | 96% |
| Long balls | 3.50 / 90 | 80% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★★½ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Duel winner, Ball-winner, Box defender.
- What Massiré Sylla is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Massiré Sylla's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent prediction
Union Saint-Gilloise should have more of the ball, with Gent likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.48 for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.01 for Gent - with over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 50%. Union Saint-Gilloise have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Gent
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent: what the numbers say
- 1. Union Saint-Gilloise unbeaten (win or draw) 75% between them
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 55% by the model, 2.49 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.3 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 or more corners 11.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo Friday 20 November 2026
- Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden Saturday 21 November 2026
- Genk vs La Louvière Saturday 21 November 2026
- Mechelen vs Club Brugge Saturday 21 November 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp Saturday 21 November 2026
- SK Beveren vs Gent Sunday 22 November 2026
- KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Sunday 22 November 2026
- Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent: questions and answers
When is Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent?
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 18:15 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent played?
At Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels, Union Saint-Gilloise's home ground.
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent?
Union Saint-Gilloise are the favourites: Union Saint-Gilloise 47%, draw 28%, Gent 25%. Our prediction is Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Gent.
Who is the player to watch in Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent?
Massiré Sylla of Union Saint-Gilloise: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 68 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.