Venezia vs Inter Milan Prediction and Betting Tips
Serie A · Thursday 29 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
Venezia welcome Inter Milan to Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in Venezia in Serie A action on Thursday 29 October 2026.
Venezia have played 8 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 13% of them. At home they average 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate. Inter Milan have played 8 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 2.9 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 88% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 29% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Inter Milan are clear favourites at 68%, with the draw at 18% and Venezia at 15%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.9% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Venezia +1.25 at 2.25, Inter Milan at 1.70. The main goals line is 3.5: over 1.95, under 1.93, which gives over 50%.
Venezia: form and key numbers
In style Venezia keep the ball, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.61 a match created, 1.94 conceded (goals minus xG: -6.9).
- Shots: 14.6 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 54.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 38% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Inter Milan: form and key numbers
In style Inter Milan keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.88 a match created, 1.01 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.0).
- Shots: 23.1 a match, 7.8 on target.
- Possession: 62.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.10.
Venezia vs Inter Milan: season averages side by side
| Venezia | Per match | Inter Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 1.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.88 |
| 1.94 | xG conceded | 1.01 |
| 0.75 | Goals | 2.88 |
| 14.6 | Shots | 23.1 |
| 4.4 | Shots on target | 7.8 |
| 2.4 | Big chances missed | 3.6 |
| 51.8 | Pressure share % | 81.7 |
| 14.8 | Tackles | 16.8 |
| 10.3 | Fouls | 8.8 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 8 measured matches.
Venezia vs Inter Milan: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Venezia have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of the last 2 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Venezia 0, Inter Milan 2 - 1.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Venezia 0-1 Inter Milan (January 12th 2025).
Head to head
In their last 2 meetings Venezia won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2025 | Venezia | 0 – 1 | Inter Milan |
| 3 Nov 2024 | Inter Milan | 1 – 0 | Venezia |
Players to watch
Venezia
- John Yeboah SS · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 69 · Gets into scoring positions, Dribbler (top 3% of his position)
- Filip Stanković GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 61 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 9% of his position)
Inter Milan
- Manuel Akanji CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 71 · Secure passer, Reads the game (top 4% of his position)
- Carlos Augusto LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 70 · Reads the game, Crosser (top 8% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Marcus Thuram
Marcus Thuram, 29 · Inter · CF · Complete forward · Moneyball Score 73
Marcus Thuram, 29, plays as a centre-forward for Inter in Serie A. Strongest for his role in shots and expected goals. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 73
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 67
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 59
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 5.49 / 90 | 98% |
| Expected goals | 0.81 / 90 | 91% |
| Goals | 0.98 / 90 | 88% |
| Key passes | 1.57 / 90 | 85% |
| Duels won | 6.67 / 90 | 80% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Complete forward Centre-forward
- ★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions, Clinical finisher.
- What Marcus Thuram is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Marcus Thuram's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Venezia vs Inter Milan prediction
Inter Milan should have more of the ball; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals - 1.18 for Venezia and 2.71 for Inter Milan - with over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams scoring at 65%. Inter Milan have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Venezia 1-3 Inter Milan
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Venezia vs Inter Milan betting tips
- Tip 1: Inter Milan to win 68% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 3.5 goals 55% by the model, 3.90 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 65% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 10.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Venezia vs Inter Milan: questions and answers
When is Venezia vs Inter Milan?
Venezia vs Inter Milan is on Thursday 29 October 2026, in Serie A.
Where is Venezia vs Inter Milan played?
At Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia, Venezia's home ground.
Who will win Venezia vs Inter Milan?
Inter Milan are the favourites: Venezia 15%, draw 18%, Inter Milan 68%. Our prediction is Venezia 1-3 Inter Milan.
Who is the player to watch in Venezia vs Inter Milan?
Marcus Thuram of Inter: a complete forward with a Moneyball Score of 73 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Venezia vs Inter Milan?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 75%.
Tags
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