Viking vs Sabah Prediction and Betting Tips | Champions League Gameweek 4
Champions League · Wednesday 4 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger · updated 2026-10-21
Viking welcome Sabah to SR-Bank Arena in Stavanger in Champions League Gameweek 4 action on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Viking have played 4 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 100% win rate. Sabah have played 11 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 64% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 29% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Viking 33%, the draw 25%, Sabah 41%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Viking 1.44, Sabah 1.62.
- Over 2.5 goals: 59% · both teams to score: 62%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Viking: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.11 a match created (goals minus xG: +4.6).
- Shots: 9.0 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 37.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Sabah: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.04 a match created (goals minus xG: +9.6).
- Shots: 15.4 a match, 5.5 on target.
- Possession: 51.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 45% of matches (20% away).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Viking vs Sabah: season averages side by side
| Viking | Per match this season | Sabah |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 11 |
| 2.3 | Goals scored | 1.9 |
| 2.3 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 1.11 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.04 |
| 9.0 | Shots | 15.4 |
| 4.8 | On target | 5.5 |
| 37.5 | Possession % | 51.1 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 45% |
| 100% | Both teams scored % | 45% |
| 4.5 | Corners | 5.4 |
| 2.8 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
| 6.73 | Average rating | 6.78 |
Viking vs Sabah prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.44 for Viking and 1.62 for Sabah - with over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 62%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Viking 1-1 Sabah
Viking vs Sabah betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 41%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 59% by the model, 3.06 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Viking vs Sabah: questions and answers
When is Viking vs Sabah?
Viking vs Sabah is on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Champions League Gameweek 4.
Where is Viking vs Sabah played?
At SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger, Viking's home ground.
Who will win Viking vs Sabah?
It is close: Viking 33%, draw 25%, Sabah 41%. Our prediction is Viking 1-1 Sabah.
How many goals will there be in Viking vs Sabah?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.