Villarreal vs Levante: Prediction, Odds and Preview
La Liga · Sunday 20 September 2026 · 21:00 · played · updated 2026-10-07
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Villarreal host Levante in the La Liga on Sunday 20 September 2026 (21:00).
Form in numbers
- Villarreal create more: 2.28 expected goals a match against 1.22 for Levante.
- Villarreal give away less, 1.34 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Villarreal 16.0 (6.6 on target), Levante 10.7 (3.7 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Villarreal 69.1%, Levante 32.3%.
| Villarreal | Per match | Levante |
|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.22 |
| 1.34 | xG conceded | 1.92 |
| 1.86 | Goals | 1.33 |
| 16.0 | Shots | 10.7 |
| 6.6 | Shots on target | 3.7 |
| 2.4 | Big chances missed | 1.8 |
| 69.1 | Pressure share % | 32.3 |
| 14.9 | Tackles | 19.3 |
| 10.7 | Fouls | 10.0 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 6 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 3 meetings Villarreal won 3, drew 0 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Villarreal | 3 – 1 | Levante |
| 2 May 2026 | Villarreal | 5 – 1 | Levante |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Levante | 0 – 1 | Villarreal |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.