West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City Prediction and Stats | Championship Gameweek 18
Championship · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · The Hawthorns, West Bromwich · updated 2026-11-14
West Bromwich Albion welcome Bristol City to The Hawthorns in West Bromwich in Championship Gameweek 18 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
West Bromwich Albion have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 53% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over 8 matches, with a 50% win rate. Bristol City have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 7 matches, with a 60% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, West Bromwich Albion are narrow favourites at 58%, with the draw at 24% and Bristol City at 19%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: West Bromwich Albion 1.88, Bristol City 0.98.
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% · both teams to score: 54%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (15 and 15 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
West Bromwich Albion: form and key numbers
In style West Bromwich Albion keep the ball, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created, 1.38 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.4).
- Shots: 13.1 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 55.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Bristol City: form and key numbers
In style Bristol City are happy without the ball, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.37 a match created, 1.58 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.6).
- Shots: 13.2 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 45.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 53% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City: season averages side by side
| West Bromwich Albion | Per match this season | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Matches | 15 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 1.76 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.37 |
| 1.38 | xG conceded | 1.58 |
| 13.1 | Shots | 13.2 |
| 3.9 | On target | 4.3 |
| 55.5 | Possession % | 45.2 |
| 20% | Clean sheets % | 13% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 53% |
| 5.7 | Corners | 5.3 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.92 | Average rating | 6.70 |
Players to watch
West Bromwich Albion
- Max O'Leary GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 45 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 28% of his position)
- Aune Heggebø CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 43 · Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions (top 2% of his position)
Bristol City
- Rob Atkinson CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 43 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
- Rob Dickie CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 36 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 10% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Rio Cardines
Rio Cardines, 20 · Bristol City · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 44
Rio Cardines, 20, plays as a wing-back for Bristol City in the Championship. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 44
- LB · Full-back Natural, 43
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 41
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 2.82 / 90 | 96% |
| Key passes | 3.45 / 90 | 95% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.36 / 90 | 84% |
| Dribbled past | 0.63 / 90 | 31% |
| Tackles | 1.96 / 90 | 26% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
- ★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Crosser, Chance creator, Creator.
- What Rio Cardines is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Rio Cardines's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City prediction
West Bromwich Albion should have more of the ball, with Bristol City likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Bristol City are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.88 for West Bromwich Albion and 0.98 for Bristol City - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 54%. West Bromwich Albion have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Bristol City
West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City: what the numbers say
- 1. West Bromwich Albion win, the likeliest result 58% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.86 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.1 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 or more corners 11.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Championship previews
- Southampton vs Derby County Saturday 21 November 2026
- Norwich City vs Cardiff City Saturday 21 November 2026
- Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers Saturday 21 November 2026
- Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic Saturday 21 November 2026
- West Ham United vs Preston North End Saturday 21 November 2026
- Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion Saturday 21 November 2026
- Stoke City vs Birmingham City Saturday 21 November 2026
- Sheffield United vs Watford Saturday 21 November 2026
West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City: questions and answers
When is West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City?
West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 18.
Where is West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City played?
At The Hawthorns, West Bromwich, West Bromwich Albion's home ground.
Who will win West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City?
West Bromwich Albion are the favourites: West Bromwich Albion 58%, draw 24%, Bristol City 19%. Our prediction is West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Bristol City.
Who is the player to watch in West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City?
Rio Cardines of Bristol City: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 44 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.