Westerlo vs La Louvière Prediction and Stats | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13
Belgian Pro League · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Het Kuipje, Westerlo · updated 2026-11-14
Westerlo welcome La Louvière to Het Kuipje in Westerlo in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Westerlo have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 2.4 and conceding 2.7 goals a game and winning 36% of them. At home they average 2.8 goals scored and 3.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. La Louvière have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 goals a game and winning 18% of them. Away from home they average 0.6 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Westerlo are narrow favourites at 57%, with the draw at 19% and La Louvière at 24%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Westerlo 2.62, La Louvière 1.73.
- Over 2.5 goals: 81% · both teams to score: 77%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Westerlo: form and key numbers
In style Westerlo take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.61 a match created, 2.05 conceded (goals minus xG: +8.3).
- Shots: 14.0 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 50.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 73% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
La Louvière: form and key numbers
In style La Louvière are happy without the ball, are strong in the air, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.46 a match created, 2.17 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.1).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 40.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.65.
Westerlo vs La Louvière: season averages side by side
| Westerlo | Per match this season | La Louvière |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 2.4 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 2.7 | Goals conceded | 2.2 |
| 1.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.46 |
| 2.05 | xG conceded | 2.17 |
| 14.0 | Shots | 11.4 |
| 5.3 | On target | 3.7 |
| 50.5 | Possession % | 40.5 |
| 18% | Clean sheets % | 18% |
| 73% | Both teams scored % | 45% |
| 3.4 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.74 | Average rating | 6.65 |
Players to watch
Westerlo
- Ibrahim Fofana DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 54 · Reads the game, Ball-winner (top 14% of his position)
- Norman Bassette CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 53 · Accurate shooter, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring (top 7% of his position)
La Louvière
- Nolan Gillot LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 65 · Crosser, Reads the game (top 14% of his position)
- Mustapha Isah CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 51 · Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Cameron Congreve
Cameron Congreve, 22 · Westerlo · WMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 68
Cameron Congreve, 22, plays as a wide midfielder for Westerlo in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and accurate crosses. Weakest in interceptions. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wide midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wide midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 68
- RM · Wide midfielder Natural, 68
- RW · Winger Natural, 64
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.42 / 90 | 100% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.69 / 90 | 90% |
| Key passes | 2.82 / 90 | 90% |
| Successful dribbles | 1.55 / 90 | 62% |
| Duels won | 5.50 / 90 | 57% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator, Crosser, Chance creator.
- What Cameron Congreve is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Cameron Congreve's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Westerlo vs La Louvière prediction
Westerlo should have more of the ball, with La Louvière likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Westerlo like to take players on; La Louvière are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 4.4 goals - 2.62 for Westerlo and 1.73 for La Louvière - with over 2.5 goals at 81% and both teams scoring at 77%. Westerlo have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Westerlo 3-1 La Louvière
Westerlo vs La Louvière: what the numbers say
- 1. Westerlo win, the likeliest result 57% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 4 or more goals 63% by the model, 4.35 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 77% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 8.4 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 7.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo Friday 20 November 2026
- Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden Saturday 21 November 2026
- Genk vs La Louvière Saturday 21 November 2026
- Mechelen vs Club Brugge Saturday 21 November 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Antwerp Saturday 21 November 2026
- SK Beveren vs Gent Sunday 22 November 2026
- KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Sunday 22 November 2026
- Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026
Westerlo vs La Louvière: questions and answers
When is Westerlo vs La Louvière?
Westerlo vs La Louvière is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Westerlo vs La Louvière played?
At Het Kuipje, Westerlo, Westerlo's home ground.
Who will win Westerlo vs La Louvière?
Westerlo are the favourites: Westerlo 57%, draw 19%, La Louvière 24%. Our prediction is Westerlo 3-1 La Louvière.
Who is the player to watch in Westerlo vs La Louvière?
Cameron Congreve of Westerlo: a wide playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 68 against every wide midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Westerlo vs La Louvière?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 81%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.