Aldosivi vs River Plate Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 16
Liga Profesional Argentina · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata · updated 2026-10-25
Aldosivi welcome River Plate to Estadio José María Minella in Mar del Plata in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 16 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
Aldosivi have played 29 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 7% of them. At home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 14 matches, with a 100% win rate. River Plate have played 33 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 52% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 14 matches, with a 41% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, River Plate are clear favourites at 62%, with the draw at 24% and Aldosivi at 14%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Aldosivi 0.74, River Plate 1.79.
- Over 2.5 goals: 46% · both teams to score: 44%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (29 and 33 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Aldosivi: form and key numbers
In style Aldosivi are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 0.91 a match created, 1.52 conceded (goals minus xG: -6.3).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 43.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 21% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 52% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
River Plate: form and key numbers
In style River Plate keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.67 a match created, 0.78 conceded (goals minus xG: -8.0).
- Shots: 16.7 a match, 5.5 on target.
- Possession: 65.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (42% away).
- Both teams scored in 39% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.93.
Aldosivi vs River Plate: season averages side by side
| Aldosivi | Per match this season | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Matches | 33 |
| 0.7 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 0.9 |
| 0.91 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.67 |
| 1.52 | xG conceded | 0.78 |
| 12.3 | Shots | 16.7 |
| 3.4 | On target | 5.5 |
| 43.6 | Possession % | 65.3 |
| 21% | Clean sheets % | 36% |
| 52% | Both teams scored % | 39% |
| 4.1 | Corners | 5.7 |
| 3.0 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.74 | Average rating | 6.93 |
Players to watch
Aldosivi
- Andrés Vombergar CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 60 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
- Guillermo Enrique RWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 49 · Dribbler, Duel winner (top 5% of his position)
River Plate
- Ángel Correa SS · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 75 · Dribbler, Chance creator (top 3% of his position)
- Juan Fernando Quintero AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 65 · Creator, Big-chance creator (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Nicolás Zalazar
Nicolás Zalazar, 29 · Aldosivi · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 55
Nicolás Zalazar, 29, plays as a centre-back for Aldosivi in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in long balls and aerial duels won. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 55
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Long balls | 4.50 / 90 | 90% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.45 / 90 | 84% |
| Clearances | 7.95 / 90 | 83% |
| Duels won | 6.40 / 90 | 80% |
| Tackles | 2.10 / 90 | 70% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★★½ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Long passer, Dominant in the air, Box defender.
- What Nicolás Zalazar is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Nicolás Zalazar's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Aldosivi vs River Plate prediction
River Plate should have more of the ball, with Aldosivi likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Aldosivi are a threat in the air and from set pieces; River Plate go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 0.74 for Aldosivi and 1.79 for River Plate - with over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 44%. River Plate have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Aldosivi 1-2 River Plate
Aldosivi vs River Plate betting tips
- Tip 1: River Plate to win 62% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 54% by the model, 2.53 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 11.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga Profesional Argentina previews
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano Sunday 25 October 2026
- Independiente vs Boca Juniors Sunday 25 October 2026
- River Plate vs Racing Club Sunday 25 October 2026
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Monday 26 October 2026
- Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield Monday 26 October 2026
- Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Monday 26 October 2026
- Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Tuesday 27 October 2026
Aldosivi vs River Plate: questions and answers
When is Aldosivi vs River Plate?
Aldosivi vs River Plate is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 16.
Where is Aldosivi vs River Plate played?
At Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata, Aldosivi's home ground.
Who will win Aldosivi vs River Plate?
River Plate are the favourites: Aldosivi 14%, draw 24%, River Plate 62%. Our prediction is Aldosivi 1-2 River Plate.
Who is the player to watch in Aldosivi vs River Plate?
Nicolás Zalazar of Aldosivi: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 55 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Aldosivi vs River Plate?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.