Angers SCO vs Lens Prediction and Stats | Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Ligue 1 · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 16:15 UTC · Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers · updated 2026-11-14
Angers SCO welcome Lens to Stade Raymond Kopa in Angers in Ligue 1 Gameweek 12 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 16:15 UTC.
Angers SCO have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 20% of them. At home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. Lens have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Lens are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 25% and Angers SCO at 30%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Angers SCO 1.39, Lens 1.75.
- Over 2.5 goals: 61% · both teams to score: 63%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Angers SCO: form and key numbers
In style Angers SCO play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.34 a match created, 1.89 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.4).
- Shots: 12.4 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 48.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 30% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Lens: form and key numbers
In style Lens cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.60 a match created, 1.60 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.0).
- Shots: 12.9 a match, 5.4 on target.
- Possession: 49.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 80% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
Angers SCO vs Lens: season averages side by side
| Angers SCO | Per match this season | Lens |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 10 |
| 0.9 | Goals scored | 1.7 |
| 1.9 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 1.34 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.60 |
| 1.89 | xG conceded | 1.60 |
| 12.4 | Shots | 12.9 |
| 3.2 | On target | 5.4 |
| 48.0 | Possession % | 49.8 |
| 30% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 40% | Both teams scored % | 80% |
| 6.0 | Corners | 5.8 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 6.83 |
Players to watch
Angers SCO
- Anthony Lopes GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 65 · Secure passer, Long passer (top 3% of his position)
- Amine Sbaï LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 61 · Chance creator, Creator (top 11% of his position)
Lens
- Andrija Bulatovic CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 68 · Chance creator, Creator (top 11% of his position)
- Michaël Cuisance CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 65 · Secure passer, Creator (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Florian Thauvin
Florian Thauvin, 33 · Lens · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 75
Florian Thauvin, 33, plays as a winger for Lens in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 75
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 72
- ST · Centre-forward Accomplished, 61
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 2.98 / 90 | 100% |
| Key passes | 3.18 / 90 | 99% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.49 / 90 | 99% |
| Big chances created | 1.03 / 90 | 98% |
| Expected goals | 0.45 / 90 | 93% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★★ Link-up forward Second striker
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Crosser, Chance creator, Creator.
- What Florian Thauvin is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Florian Thauvin's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Angers SCO vs Lens prediction
Lens should have more of the ball; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.39 for Angers SCO and 1.75 for Lens - with over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 63%. Lens have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Angers SCO 1-2 Lens
Angers SCO vs Lens: what the numbers say
- 1. Lens unbeaten (win or draw) 70% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 61% by the model, 3.14 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 63% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.5 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 11.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Ligue 1 previews
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- Strasbourg vs Brest Saturday 21 November 2026
- Monaco vs Auxerre Saturday 21 November 2026
- LOSC Lille vs Olympique Lyonnais Saturday 21 November 2026
- Lens vs Toulouse Saturday 21 November 2026
- Paris vs Angers SCO Sunday 22 November 2026
- Lorient vs Rennes Sunday 22 November 2026
Angers SCO vs Lens: questions and answers
When is Angers SCO vs Lens?
Angers SCO vs Lens is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 16:15 UTC, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 12.
Where is Angers SCO vs Lens played?
At Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers, Angers SCO's home ground.
Who will win Angers SCO vs Lens?
Lens are the favourites: Angers SCO 30%, draw 25%, Lens 45%. Our prediction is Angers SCO 1-2 Lens.
Who is the player to watch in Angers SCO vs Lens?
Florian Thauvin of Lens: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 75 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Angers SCO vs Lens?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.