AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava Prediction and Betting Tips | UEFA Champions League Gameweek 3
UEFA Champions League · Tuesday 20 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-18
AS Roma welcome Slovan Bratislava to Stadio Olimpico in Roma in UEFA Champions League Gameweek 3 action on Tuesday 20 October 2026.
AS Roma have played 7 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.4 goals a game and winning 71% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 60% win rate. Slovan Bratislava have played 8 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 75% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, AS Roma are clear favourites at 79%, with the draw at 13% and Slovan Bratislava at 8%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.5% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is AS Roma -2.25 at 1.93, Slovan Bratislava at 1.97. The main goals line is 3.75: over 2.02, under 1.86, which gives over 48%.
AS Roma: form and key numbers
In style AS Roma keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.16 a match created, 1.05 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.8).
- Shots: 18.1 a match, 6.0 on target.
- Possession: 55.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 71% of matches (40% at home).
- Both teams scored in 29% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.09.
Slovan Bratislava: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.61 a match created (goals minus xG: +6.1).
- Shots: 12.0 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 42.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.59.
AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava: season averages side by side
| AS Roma | Per match | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| 2.16 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.61 |
| 1.05 | xG conceded | – |
| 2.29 | Goals | 1.38 |
| 18.1 | Shots | 12.0 |
| 6.0 | Shots on target | 4.0 |
| 2.1 | Big chances missed | 0.3 |
| 61.1 | Pressure share % | – |
| 18.6 | Tackles | 8.1 |
| 12.0 | Fouls | 12.5 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 8 measured matches.
AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- AS Roma have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of the last 2 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: AS Roma 1, Slovan Bratislava 2 - 1.5 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished AS Roma 1-1 Slovan Bratislava (August 25th 2011).
Head to head
In their last 2 meetings AS Roma won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2011 | AS Roma | 1 – 1 | Slovan Bratislava |
| 18 Aug 2011 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 – 0 | AS Roma |
Players to watch
AS Roma
- Paulo Dybala SS · Link-up forward · Moneyball Score 71 · Chance creator, Creator (top 3% of his position)
- Wesley RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 64 · Chance creator, Crosser (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Donyell Malen
Donyell Malen, 27 · Roma · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 74
Donyell Malen, 27, plays as a centre-forward for Roma in Serie A. Strongest for his role in expected goals and goals. Weakest in aerial duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 74
- SS · Second striker Competent, 67
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 1.14 / 90 | 98% |
| Goals | 1.36 / 90 | 96% |
| Shots | 4.97 / 90 | 96% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 xG/shot | 90% |
| Key passes | 1.81 / 90 | 88% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, Clinical finisher, High shot volume.
- What Donyell Malen is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Donyell Malen's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 2.39 for AS Roma and 0.72 for Slovan Bratislava - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 47%. AS Roma have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: AS Roma 2-0 Slovan Bratislava
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava betting tips
- Tip 1: AS Roma to win 79% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 3.11 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 8.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. This match is one of the free picks of its schedule.
Open AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava in the Match Centre Follow it live
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AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava: questions and answers
When is AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?
AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava is on Tuesday 20 October 2026, in UEFA Champions League Gameweek 3.
Where is AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava played?
At Stadio Olimpico, Roma, AS Roma's home ground.
Who will win AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?
AS Roma are the favourites: AS Roma 79%, draw 13%, Slovan Bratislava 8%. Our prediction is AS Roma 2-0 Slovan Bratislava.
Who is the player to watch in AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?
Donyell Malen of Roma: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 74 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.