Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 15
Liga Profesional Argentina · Tuesday 3 November 2026 · 00:15 UTC · Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro, San Miguel de Tucumán · updated 2026-10-25
Atlético Tucumán welcome Argentinos Juniors to Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro in San Miguel de Tucumán in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 15 action on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 00:15 UTC.
Atlético Tucumán have played 30 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 23% of them. At home they average 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 15 matches, with a 29% win rate. Argentinos Juniors have played 32 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 53% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 15 matches, with a 29% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Atlético Tucumán 31%, the draw 31%, Argentinos Juniors 38%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Atlético Tucumán 0.99, Argentinos Juniors 1.12.
- Over 2.5 goals: 35% · both teams to score: 43%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (30 and 32 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Atlético Tucumán: form and key numbers
In style Atlético Tucumán are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.07 a match created, 1.06 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.2).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 42.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (58% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 6.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Argentinos Juniors: form and key numbers
In style Argentinos Juniors keep the ball, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.29 a match created, 1.10 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.4).
- Shots: 13.9 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 61.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (36% away).
- Both teams scored in 47% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors: season averages side by side
| Atlético Tucumán | Per match this season | Argentinos Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Matches | 32 |
| 0.9 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 1.07 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.29 |
| 1.06 | xG conceded | 1.10 |
| 11.6 | Shots | 13.9 |
| 3.4 | On target | 4.8 |
| 42.9 | Possession % | 61.6 |
| 40% | Clean sheets % | 44% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 47% |
| 5.0 | Corners | 5.8 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.75 | Average rating | 6.90 |
Players to watch
Atlético Tucumán
- Gabriel Compagnucci RMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 50 · Creator, Crosser (top 21% of his position)
- Clever Ferreira CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 50 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
Argentinos Juniors
- Claudio Bravo LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 52 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 1% of his position)
- Gabriel Florentín AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 48 · Secure passer, Big-chance creator (top 23% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Francisco Álvarez
Francisco Álvarez, 26 · Argentinos Juniors · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 53
Francisco Álvarez, 26, plays as a centre-back for Argentinos Juniors in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in long balls and interceptions. Weakest in blocked shots. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 53
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Long balls | 4.37 / 90 | 90% |
| Interceptions | 2.12 / 90 | 88% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.29 / 90 | 81% |
| Duels won | 5.95 / 90 | 74% |
| Passes | 69.84 / 90 | 53% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★ Ball-playing centre-back Centre-back
Scout's notes: Long passer, Reads the game, Dominant in the air.
- What Francisco Álvarez is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Francisco Álvarez's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors prediction
Argentinos Juniors should have more of the ball, with Atlético Tucumán likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Atlético Tucumán are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Argentinos Juniors work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals - 0.99 for Atlético Tucumán and 1.12 for Argentinos Juniors - with over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams scoring at 43%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Atlético Tucumán 1-1 Argentinos Juniors
Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 38%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 65% by the model, 2.10 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 14.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 10.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield Monday 26 October 2026
- Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Monday 26 October 2026
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- Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Tuesday 27 October 2026
Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors: questions and answers
When is Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors?
Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors is on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 00:15 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 15.
Where is Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors played?
At Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro, San Miguel de Tucumán, Atlético Tucumán's home ground.
Who will win Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors?
It is close: Atlético Tucumán 31%, draw 31%, Argentinos Juniors 38%. Our prediction is Atlético Tucumán 1-1 Argentinos Juniors.
Who is the player to watch in Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors?
Francisco Álvarez of Argentinos Juniors: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 53 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 35%.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.