Bali United vs Persik Kediri Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 9
Liga 1 Indonesia · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 08:30 UTC · Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, Bali · updated 2026-10-25
Bali United welcome Persik Kediri to Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta in Bali in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 9 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 08:30 UTC.
Bali United have played 7 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 2.9 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 57% of them. At home they average 4.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate. Persik Kediri have played 6 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Bali United are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 25% and Persik Kediri at 21%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Bali United 1.75, Persik Kediri 1.01.
- Over 2.5 goals: 52% · both teams to score: 53%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Bali United: form and key numbers
In style Bali United keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 62.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 14% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.55.
Persik Kediri: form and key numbers
In style Persik Kediri keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Shots: 8.3 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 61.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.53.
Bali United vs Persik Kediri: season averages side by side
| Bali United | Per match this season | Persik Kediri |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 6 |
| 2.9 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 0.7 |
| 12.7 | Shots | 8.3 |
| 4.7 | On target | 3.3 |
| 62.3 | Possession % | 61.8 |
| 14% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 71% | Both teams scored % | 33% |
| 4.6 | Corners | 7.7 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.55 | Average rating | 6.53 |
Players to watch
Bali United
- Mike Hauptmeijer GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 9 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 1% of his position)
- Tim Geypens LB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 3 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 1% of his position)
Persik Kediri
- Husna Al Malik GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 9 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 5% of his position)
- Marcelo Djaló CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 3 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Jort van der Sande
Jort van der Sande, 30 · Bali United · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 4
Jort van der Sande, 30, plays as a centre-forward for Bali United in Liga 1 Indonesia. Strongest for his role in shots on target and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 4
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots on target | 60% | 83% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | – | 55% |
| Big chances missed | 0.00 / 90 | 22% |
| Goals | 0.73 / 90 | 2% |
| Expected goals | 0.00 / 90 | 0% |
Roles he suits
- ★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ½ Shadow striker Second striker
Scout's notes: Accurate shooter.
- What Jort van der Sande is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Jort van der Sande's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Bali United vs Persik Kediri prediction
Bali United should have more of the ball; both like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.75 for Bali United and 1.01 for Persik Kediri - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 53%. Bali United have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Bali United 2-1 Persik Kediri
Bali United vs Persik Kediri betting tips
- Tip 1: Bali United win or draw (double chance) 79% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.75 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 12.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga 1 Indonesia previews
- Persija vs Persik Kediri Monday 26 October 2026
- Bhayangkara vs PSM Monday 26 October 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United Monday 26 October 2026
- PSS Sleman vs Borneo Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Malut United vs Bhayangkara Friday 30 October 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap Friday 30 October 2026
- Arema vs Bali United Saturday 31 October 2026
- PSM vs Madura United Saturday 31 October 2026
Bali United vs Persik Kediri: questions and answers
When is Bali United vs Persik Kediri?
Bali United vs Persik Kediri is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 08:30 UTC, in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 9.
Where is Bali United vs Persik Kediri played?
At Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, Bali, Bali United's home ground.
Who will win Bali United vs Persik Kediri?
Bali United are the favourites: Bali United 54%, draw 25%, Persik Kediri 21%. Our prediction is Bali United 2-1 Persik Kediri.
Who is the player to watch in Bali United vs Persik Kediri?
Jort van der Sande of Bali United: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 4 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Bali United vs Persik Kediri?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.