Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 16
Liga Profesional Argentina · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Estadio Florencio Solá, Buenos Aires · updated 2026-10-25
Banfield welcome Atlético Tucumán to Estadio Florencio Solá in Buenos Aires in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 16 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
Banfield have played 30 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 27% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 15 matches, with a 63% win rate. Atlético Tucumán have played 30 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 23% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 15 matches, with a 71% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Banfield 35%, the draw 29%, Atlético Tucumán 37%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Banfield 1.21, Atlético Tucumán 1.25.
- Over 2.5 goals: 45% · both teams to score: 51%.
- Most likely score: 0–2 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (30 and 30 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Banfield: form and key numbers
In style Banfield are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.13 a match created, 1.74 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.9).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 3.6 on target.
- Possession: 39.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Atlético Tucumán: form and key numbers
In style Atlético Tucumán are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.07 a match created, 1.06 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.2).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 42.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (42% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 6.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán: season averages side by side
| Banfield | Per match this season | Atlético Tucumán |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Matches | 30 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 1.13 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.07 |
| 1.74 | xG conceded | 1.06 |
| 12.3 | Shots | 11.6 |
| 3.6 | On target | 3.4 |
| 39.9 | Possession % | 42.9 |
| 20% | Clean sheets % | 40% |
| 57% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 3.6 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.80 | Average rating | 6.75 |
Players to watch
Banfield
- David Zalazar LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 51 · Crosser, Big-chance creator (top 4% of his position)
- Nicolás Meriano CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 41 · Reads the game, Long passer (top 13% of his position)
Atlético Tucumán
- Gabriel Compagnucci RMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 50 · Creator, Crosser (top 21% of his position)
- Clever Ferreira CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 50 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Santiago Daniele
Santiago Daniele, 20 · Banfield · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 55
Santiago Daniele, 20, plays as a centre-back for Banfield in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in dribbled past and tackles. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 55
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Dribbled past | 0.08 / 90 | 98% |
| Tackles | 2.94 / 90 | 93% |
| Clearances | 8.26 / 90 | 84% |
| Interceptions | 2.07 / 90 | 82% |
| Duels won | 6.35 / 90 | 77% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★★ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Hard to dribble past, Ball-winner, Box defender.
- What Santiago Daniele is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Santiago Daniele's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán prediction
Atlético Tucumán should have more of the ball; Banfield go long and direct; Atlético Tucumán are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.21 for Banfield and 1.25 for Atlético Tucumán - with over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 51%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Banfield 1-1 Atlético Tucumán
Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 37%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 55% by the model, 2.46 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 14.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 8.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga Profesional Argentina previews
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano Sunday 25 October 2026
- Independiente vs Boca Juniors Sunday 25 October 2026
- River Plate vs Racing Club Sunday 25 October 2026
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Monday 26 October 2026
- Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield Monday 26 October 2026
- Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Monday 26 October 2026
- Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Tuesday 27 October 2026
Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán: questions and answers
When is Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán?
Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 16.
Where is Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán played?
At Estadio Florencio Solá, Buenos Aires, Banfield's home ground.
Who will win Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán?
It is close: Banfield 35%, draw 29%, Atlético Tucumán 37%. Our prediction is Banfield 1-1 Atlético Tucumán.
Who is the player to watch in Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán?
Santiago Daniele of Banfield: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 55 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.