Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Barracas Central vs Racing Club Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 16

Barracas Central welcome Racing Club to Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia in Capital Federal in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 16 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.

Barracas Central have played 29 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 34% of them. At home they average 0.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over 14 matches, with a 50% win rate. Racing Club have played 31 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 29% of them. Away from home they average 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 16 matches, with a 56% win rate.

On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Barracas Central are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 31% and Racing Club at 25%.

Moneyball's estimate

Barracas Central44%fair odds 2.25
Draw31%fair odds 3.25
Racing Club25%fair odds 4.03

From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (29 and 31 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.

Barracas Central: form and key numbers

In style Barracas Central are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.

Racing Club: form and key numbers

In style Racing Club keep the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.

Barracas Central vs Racing Club: season averages side by side

Barracas CentralPer match this seasonRacing Club
29Matches31
0.9Goals scored1.1
0.9Goals conceded1.2
0.89Expected goals (xG)1.21
0.89xG conceded1.52
10.8Shots12.6
3.5On target3.8
44.6Possession %56.6
34%Clean sheets %26%
45%Both teams scored %61%
2.9Corners4.6
2.4Yellow cards3.0
6.79Average rating6.78

Players to watch

Barracas Central

Racing Club

Scouting spotlight: Gabriel Rojas

Gabriel Rojas, 29 · Racing Club · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 49

Gabriel Rojas, 29, plays as a wing-back for Racing Club in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in dribbled past and accurate crosses. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.

Accurate crosses 90Key passes 73Expected assists 58Successful dribbles 31Expected goals 0Tackles 16Interceptions 48Duels won 10Dribbled past 92

Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.

Positions he can play

  • LB · Full-back Natural, 49
  • LWB · Wing-back Natural, 49
  • LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 45

Where he is strongest

FigureHis numberBetter than
Dribbled past0.28 / 9092%
Accurate crosses2.16 / 9090%
Key passes2.09 / 9073%
Expected assists (est.)0.24 / 9058%
Interceptions1.19 / 9048%

Roles he suits

  • ★★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
  • ★★★½ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
  • ★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder

Scout's notes: Hard to dribble past, Crosser.

In Moneyball Scout
  • What Gabriel Rojas is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
  • How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
  • The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
  • His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age

Open Gabriel Rojas's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month

Barracas Central vs Racing Club prediction

Racing Club should have more of the ball, with Barracas Central likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals - 1.24 for Barracas Central and 0.86 for Racing Club - with over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams scoring at 42%. Barracas Central have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.

Prediction: Barracas Central 2-0 Racing Club

Barracas Central vs Racing Club betting tips

  1. Tip 1: Barracas Central win or draw (double chance) 75% between them
  2. Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 65% by the model, 2.10 goals expected
  3. Tip 3: Both teams to score: no 58% by the model
  4. Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 13.4 cards a match between them
  5. Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 7.5 corners a match between them

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

The full analysis

Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.

Open Moneyball Odds Follow it live

More Liga Profesional Argentina previews

Barracas Central vs Racing Club: questions and answers

When is Barracas Central vs Racing Club?

Barracas Central vs Racing Club is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 16.

Where is Barracas Central vs Racing Club played?

At Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia, Capital Federal, Barracas Central's home ground.

Who will win Barracas Central vs Racing Club?

Barracas Central are the favourites: Barracas Central 44%, draw 31%, Racing Club 25%. Our prediction is Barracas Central 2-0 Racing Club.

Who is the player to watch in Barracas Central vs Racing Club?

Gabriel Rojas of Racing Club: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 49 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.

How many goals will there be in Barracas Central vs Racing Club?

Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 35%.

Tags

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.