Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction and Betting Tips | Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Bundesliga · Saturday 31 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
Bayer Leverkusen welcome VfB Stuttgart to BayArena in Leverkusen in Bundesliga Gameweek 8 action on Saturday 31 October 2026.
Bayer Leverkusen have played 7 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 57% of them. At home they average 2.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 75% win rate. VfB Stuttgart have played 7 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 29% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Bayer Leverkusen are narrow favourites at 49%, with the draw at 24% and VfB Stuttgart at 27%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Bayer Leverkusen -0.75 at 2.04, VfB Stuttgart at 1.86. The main goals line is 3.5: over 1.83, under 2.05, which gives over 53%.
Bayer Leverkusen: form and key numbers
In style Bayer Leverkusen keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.04 a match created, 1.53 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.8).
- Shots: 18.1 a match, 5.4 on target.
- Possession: 57.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
VfB Stuttgart: form and key numbers
In style VfB Stuttgart keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.04 a match created, 2.01 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.3).
- Shots: 16.9 a match, 5.7 on target.
- Possession: 56.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 14% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: season averages side by side
| Bayer Leverkusen | Per match | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| 2.04 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.04 |
| 1.53 | xG conceded | 2.01 |
| 2.29 | Goals | 1.43 |
| 18.1 | Shots | 16.9 |
| 5.4 | Shots on target | 5.7 |
| 2.0 | Big chances missed | 3.1 |
| 58.0 | Pressure share % | 56.4 |
| 14.4 | Tackles | 12.7 |
| 11.4 | Fouls | 9.7 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 1.1 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 7 measured matches.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Bayer Leverkusen have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Bayer Leverkusen 6, VfB Stuttgart 10 - 4.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished VfB Stuttgart 3-1 Bayer Leverkusen (May 9th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Bayer Leverkusen won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 – 1 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 – 4 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 16 Mar 2025 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 – 4 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 1 Nov 2024 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 – 0 | VfB Stuttgart |
Players to watch
Bayer Leverkusen
- Aleix García CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 75 · Ball circulator, Press-resistant (top 1% of his position)
- Patrik Schick CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 69 · High shot volume, Clinical finisher (top 8% of his position)
VfB Stuttgart
- Bilal El Khannouss AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 71 · Creator, Big-chance creator (top 6% of his position)
- Jeff Chabot CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 69 · Duel winner, Dominant in the air (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maximilian Mittelstädt
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29 · VfB Stuttgart · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 83
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29, plays as a wing-back for VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and accurate crosses. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 83
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 83
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 79
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.46 / 90 | 98% |
| Accurate crosses | 2.56 / 90 | 97% |
| Interceptions | 2.05 / 90 | 96% |
| Key passes | 2.73 / 90 | 92% |
| Duels won | 7.33 / 90 | 92% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★★ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator, Crosser, Reads the game.
- What Maximilian Mittelstädt is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maximilian Mittelstädt's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart prediction
Bayer Leverkusen should have more of the ball; Bayer Leverkusen work the ball wide and cross; VfB Stuttgart are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals - 2.35 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.50 for VfB Stuttgart - with over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 71%. Bayer Leverkusen have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 VfB Stuttgart
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart betting tips
- Tip 1: Bayer Leverkusen win or draw (double chance) 73% between them
- Tip 2: Over 3.5 goals 54% by the model, 3.85 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 71% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 13.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: questions and answers
When is Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart is on Saturday 31 October 2026, in Bundesliga Gameweek 8.
Where is Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart played?
At BayArena, Leverkusen, Bayer Leverkusen's home ground.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bayer Leverkusen are the favourites: Bayer Leverkusen 49%, draw 24%, VfB Stuttgart 27%. Our prediction is Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 VfB Stuttgart.
Who is the player to watch in Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Maximilian Mittelstädt of VfB Stuttgart: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 83 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 74%.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.