Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction and Betting Tips | Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Bundesliga · Saturday 31 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
Borussia Mönchengladbach welcome SC Paderborn 07 to Stadion im Borussia-Park in Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga Gameweek 8 action on Saturday 31 October 2026.
Borussia Mönchengladbach have played 7 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 3.1 goals a game and winning 14% of them. At home they average 2.3 goals scored and 3.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate. SC Paderborn 07 have played 7 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 29% of them. Away from home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Borussia Mönchengladbach are narrow favourites at 46%, with the draw at 25% and SC Paderborn 07 at 29%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Borussia Mönchengladbach -0.5 at 1.96, SC Paderborn 07 at 1.94. The main goals line is 3.25: over 2.01, under 1.88, which gives over 48%.
Borussia Mönchengladbach: form and key numbers
In style Borussia Mönchengladbach are happy without the ball, are strong in the air, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.71 a match created, 2.60 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.9).
- Shots: 15.3 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 45.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.9 a match.
- Discipline: 3.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.62.
SC Paderborn 07: form and key numbers
In style SC Paderborn 07 play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.12 a match created, 1.62 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.9).
- Shots: 14.0 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 48.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 29% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07: season averages side by side
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | Per match | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.12 |
| 2.60 | xG conceded | 1.62 |
| 1.57 | Goals | 0.86 |
| 15.3 | Shots | 14.0 |
| 4.7 | Shots on target | 3.4 |
| 0.7 | Big chances missed | 0.7 |
| 35.0 | Pressure share % | 40.8 |
| 14.6 | Tackles | 18.1 |
| 14.7 | Fouls | 10.7 |
| 3.1 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 7 measured matches.
Players to watch
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Wael Mohya WF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 52 · Gets into scoring positions, Dribbler (top 13% of his position)
- Florian Neuhaus CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 51 · Chance creator, Creator (top 2% of his position)
SC Paderborn 07
- Nahuel Noll GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 71 · Long passer, Box defender (top 2% of his position)
- Tjark Scheller CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 66 · Duel winner, Ball-winner (top 8% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Steffen Tigges
Steffen Tigges, 28 · Paderborn · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 64
Steffen Tigges, 28, plays as a centre-forward for Paderborn in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and duels won. Weakest in shot quality (xG per shot). Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 64
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 59
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 6.49 / 90 | 97% |
| Duels won | 10.21 / 90 | 97% |
| Shots | 4.95 / 90 | 94% |
| Goals | 0.62 / 90 | 69% |
| Key passes | 1.24 / 90 | 63% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Duel winner, High shot volume.
- What Steffen Tigges is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Steffen Tigges's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction
SC Paderborn 07 should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.64 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1.61 for SC Paderborn 07 - with over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 65%. Borussia Mönchengladbach have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1 SC Paderborn 07
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 betting tips
- Tip 1: Borussia Mönchengladbach win or draw (double chance) 71% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 63% by the model, 3.26 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 65% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 10.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07: questions and answers
When is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 is on Saturday 31 October 2026, in Bundesliga Gameweek 8.
Where is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 played?
At Stadion im Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach, Borussia Mönchengladbach's home ground.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07?
Borussia Mönchengladbach are the favourites: Borussia Mönchengladbach 46%, draw 25%, SC Paderborn 07 29%. Our prediction is Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1 SC Paderborn 07.
Who is the player to watch in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07?
Steffen Tigges of Paderborn: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
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