Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Prediction and Betting Tips | Süper Lig Gameweek 9
Süper Lig · Monday 26 October 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize · updated 2026-10-25
Rizespor welcome Trabzonspor to Çaykur Didi Stadyumu in Rize in Süper Lig Gameweek 9 action on Monday 26 October 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Rizespor have played 8 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 38% of them. At home they average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate. Trabzonspor have played 8 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.6 goals a game and winning 63% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 20% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Trabzonspor are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 27% and Rizespor at 28%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Rizespor 1.14, Trabzonspor 1.52.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 54%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Rizespor: form and key numbers
In style Rizespor keep the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.27 a match created, 1.28 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.2).
- Shots: 15.9 a match, 4.9 on target.
- Possession: 54.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 38% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Trabzonspor: form and key numbers
In style Trabzonspor keep the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.63 a match created, 1.57 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.9).
- Shots: 13.9 a match, 6.9 on target.
- Possession: 52.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (25% away).
- Both teams scored in 38% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.03.
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor: season averages side by side
| Rizespor | Per match this season | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 8 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 2.3 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 0.6 |
| 1.27 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.63 |
| 1.28 | xG conceded | 1.57 |
| 15.9 | Shots | 13.9 |
| 4.9 | On target | 6.9 |
| 54.3 | Possession % | 52.6 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 50% |
| 38% | Both teams scored % | 38% |
| 5.0 | Corners | 5.4 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.87 | Average rating | 7.03 |
Players to watch
Rizespor
- Emrecan Bulut LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 38 · Big-chance creator, Dribbler (top 15% of his position)
- Qazim Laci CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 38 · Chance creator, Creator (top 6% of his position)
Trabzonspor
- André Onana GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 43 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 61% of his position)
- Aral Şimşir LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 41 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mohamed Salah
Mohamed Salah, 34 · Trabzonspor · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 54
Mohamed Salah, 34, plays as a winger for Trabzonspor in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and expected goals. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 54
- ST · Centre-forward Accomplished, 41
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.42 / 90 | 88% |
| Expected goals | 0.54 / 90 | 87% |
| Key passes | 3.47 / 90 | 87% |
| Big chances created | 0.69 / 90 | 83% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.25 / 90 | 68% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
Scout's notes: Creator, Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator.
⚠ 7 goals from only 3.9 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Mohamed Salah is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mohamed Salah's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor prediction
Rizespor should have more of the ball; Rizespor work the ball wide and cross; Trabzonspor like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.14 for Rizespor and 1.52 for Trabzonspor - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 54%. Trabzonspor have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Rizespor 1-2 Trabzonspor
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor betting tips
- Tip 1: Trabzonspor win or draw (double chance) 72% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.66 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 10.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Friday 30 October 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Saturday 31 October 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor Saturday 31 October 2026
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe Saturday 31 October 2026
- Amed SK vs Eyüpspor Sunday 1 November 2026
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor: questions and answers
When is Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor is on Monday 26 October 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 9.
Where is Rizespor vs Trabzonspor played?
At Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize, Rizespor's home ground.
Who will win Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?
Trabzonspor are the favourites: Rizespor 28%, draw 27%, Trabzonspor 45%. Our prediction is Rizespor 1-2 Trabzonspor.
Who is the player to watch in Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?
Mohamed Salah of Trabzonspor: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 54 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.