Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Prediction and Betting Tips | Süper Lig Gameweek 10
Süper Lig · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 10:30 UTC · Kazım Karabekir Stadı Yani 2 Nolu Sentetik Çim Sahası, Erzurum · updated 2026-10-25
Erzurumspor FK welcome Çorum FK to Kazım Karabekir Stadı Yani 2 Nolu Sentetik Çim Sahası in Erzurum in Süper Lig Gameweek 10 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 10:30 UTC.
Erzurumspor FK have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 44% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 75% win rate. Çorum FK have played 8 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 3.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Erzurumspor FK 31%, the draw 28%, Çorum FK 42%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Erzurumspor FK 1.18, Çorum FK 1.41.
- Over 2.5 goals: 48% · both teams to score: 53%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Erzurumspor FK: form and key numbers
In style Erzurumspor FK are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.85 a match created, 1.33 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.4).
- Shots: 9.6 a match, 2.9 on target.
- Possession: 42.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 22% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Çorum FK: form and key numbers
In style Çorum FK keep the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.25 a match created, 1.37 conceded (goals minus xG: +8.0).
- Shots: 12.6 a match, 5.1 on target.
- Possession: 52.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK: season averages side by side
| Erzurumspor FK | Per match this season | Çorum FK |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 8 |
| 0.9 | Goals scored | 2.3 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 0.85 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.25 |
| 1.33 | xG conceded | 1.37 |
| 9.6 | Shots | 12.6 |
| 2.9 | On target | 5.1 |
| 42.4 | Possession % | 52.5 |
| 44% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 22% | Both teams scored % | 63% |
| 3.0 | Corners | 4.3 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.75 | Average rating | 6.85 |
Players to watch
Erzurumspor FK
- Orhan Ovacıklı RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 30 · Crosser, Dribbler (top 33% of his position)
- Ertuğrul Taşkıran GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 26 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 37% of his position)
Çorum FK
- Ylber Ramadani DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 31 · Secure passer, Blocks shots (top 8% of his position)
- Berat Özdemir DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 26 · Long passer, Secure passer (top 22% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Alexandros Kyziridis
Alexandros Kyziridis, 26 · Çorum FK · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 51
Alexandros Kyziridis, 26, plays as a winger for Çorum FK in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and big chances created. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 51
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 47
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.40 / 90 | 83% |
| Big chances created | 0.70 / 90 | 80% |
| Key passes | 3.15 / 90 | 77% |
| Expected goals | 0.44 / 90 | 76% |
| Dispossessed | 0.70 / 90 | 59% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator, Big-chance creator.
- What Alexandros Kyziridis is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Alexandros Kyziridis's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK prediction
Çorum FK should have more of the ball, with Erzurumspor FK likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.18 for Erzurumspor FK and 1.41 for Çorum FK - with over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 53%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Erzurumspor FK 1-1 Çorum FK
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 42%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 52% by the model, 2.59 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Monday 26 October 2026
- Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Monday 26 October 2026
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Friday 30 October 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor Saturday 31 October 2026
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe Saturday 31 October 2026
- Amed SK vs Eyüpspor Sunday 1 November 2026
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK: questions and answers
When is Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 10:30 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 10.
Where is Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK played?
At Kazım Karabekir Stadı Yani 2 Nolu Sentetik Çim Sahası, Erzurum, Erzurumspor FK's home ground.
Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?
It is close: Erzurumspor FK 31%, draw 28%, Çorum FK 42%. Our prediction is Erzurumspor FK 1-1 Çorum FK.
Who is the player to watch in Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?
Alexandros Kyziridis of Çorum FK: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 51 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.