Kocaelispor vs Rizespor Prediction and Betting Tips | Süper Lig Gameweek 10
Süper Lig · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 13:00 UTC · İsmetpaşa Stadyumu, İzmit · updated 2026-10-25
Kocaelispor welcome Rizespor to İsmetpaşa Stadyumu in İzmit in Süper Lig Gameweek 10 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Kocaelispor have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 56% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 60% win rate. Rizespor have played 8 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 38% of them. Away from home they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Kocaelispor are narrow favourites at 43%, with the draw at 29% and Rizespor at 28%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Kocaelispor 1.34, Rizespor 1.05.
- Over 2.5 goals: 43% · both teams to score: 49%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Kocaelispor: form and key numbers
In style Kocaelispor play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.23 a match created, 1.61 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.1).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 48.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Rizespor: form and key numbers
In style Rizespor keep the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.27 a match created, 1.28 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.2).
- Shots: 15.9 a match, 4.9 on target.
- Possession: 54.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 38% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Kocaelispor vs Rizespor: season averages side by side
| Kocaelispor | Per match this season | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 8 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 1.23 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.27 |
| 1.61 | xG conceded | 1.28 |
| 12.8 | Shots | 15.9 |
| 4.3 | On target | 4.9 |
| 48.9 | Possession % | 54.3 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 44% | Both teams scored % | 38% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.85 | Average rating | 6.87 |
Players to watch
Kocaelispor
- Emir Ortakaya CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 37 · Blocks shots, Dominant in the air (top 16% of his position)
- Serhat Öztaşdelen GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 35 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 52% of his position)
Rizespor
- Emrecan Bulut LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 38 · Big-chance creator, Dribbler (top 15% of his position)
- Taylan Antalyalı DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 34 · Press-resistant, Disciplined (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Qazim Laci
Qazim Laci, 30 · Rizespor · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 38
Qazim Laci, 30, plays as a central midfielder for Rizespor in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in interceptions. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 38
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 33
- DM · Defensive midfielder Accomplished, 28
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.52 / 90 | 94% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.32 / 90 | 89% |
| Long balls | 4.64 / 90 | 86% |
| Expected goals | 0.23 / 90 | 74% |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 66% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★½ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator, Long passer.
- What Qazim Laci is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Qazim Laci's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Kocaelispor vs Rizespor prediction
Rizespor should have more of the ball; Kocaelispor are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Rizespor work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 1.34 for Kocaelispor and 1.05 for Rizespor - with over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 49%. Kocaelispor have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Kocaelispor 2-0 Rizespor
Kocaelispor vs Rizespor betting tips
- Tip 1: Kocaelispor win or draw (double chance) 72% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 57% by the model, 2.39 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Süper Lig previews
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- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Monday 26 October 2026
- Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Monday 26 October 2026
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Friday 30 October 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Saturday 31 October 2026
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe Saturday 31 October 2026
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Kocaelispor vs Rizespor: questions and answers
When is Kocaelispor vs Rizespor?
Kocaelispor vs Rizespor is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 10.
Where is Kocaelispor vs Rizespor played?
At İsmetpaşa Stadyumu, İzmit, Kocaelispor's home ground.
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Rizespor?
Kocaelispor are the favourites: Kocaelispor 43%, draw 29%, Rizespor 28%. Our prediction is Kocaelispor 2-0 Rizespor.
Who is the player to watch in Kocaelispor vs Rizespor?
Qazim Laci of Rizespor: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 38 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Kocaelispor vs Rizespor?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.