Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe Prediction and Betting Tips | Süper Lig Gameweek 10
Süper Lig · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium, İstanbul · updated 2026-10-25
Fenerbahçe welcome Göztepe to Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium in İstanbul in Süper Lig Gameweek 10 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Fenerbahçe have played 8 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 63% of them. At home they average 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 60% win rate. Göztepe have played 8 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 2.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Fenerbahçe are clear favourites at 73%, with the draw at 15% and Göztepe at 12%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Fenerbahçe 2.98, Göztepe 1.22.
- Over 2.5 goals: 79% · both teams to score: 67%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Fenerbahçe: form and key numbers
In style Fenerbahçe keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.52 a match created, 0.97 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.9).
- Shots: 18.4 a match, 7.3 on target.
- Possession: 55.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 63% of matches (40% at home).
- Both teams scored in 38% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.05.
Göztepe: form and key numbers
In style Göztepe are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.97 a match created, 1.83 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.3).
- Shots: 16.3 a match, 5.6 on target.
- Possession: 40.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe: season averages side by side
| Fenerbahçe | Per match this season | Göztepe |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 8 |
| 2.8 | Goals scored | 2.1 |
| 0.8 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 2.52 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.97 |
| 0.97 | xG conceded | 1.83 |
| 18.4 | Shots | 16.3 |
| 7.3 | On target | 5.6 |
| 55.5 | Possession % | 40.4 |
| 63% | Clean sheets % | 13% |
| 38% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 6.3 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 2.8 |
| 7.05 | Average rating | 6.79 |
Players to watch
Fenerbahçe
- Mason Greenwood RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 46 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 4% of his position)
- Kerem Aktürkoğlu LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 45 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 6% of his position)
Göztepe
Scouting spotlight: Vedat Muriqi
Vedat Muriqi, 32 · Fenerbahçe · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 48
Vedat Muriqi, 32, plays as a centre-forward for Fenerbahçe in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in goals and shots on target. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 48
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 43
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 / 90 | 88% |
| Shots on target | 57% | 82% |
| Expected goals | 0.80 / 90 | 71% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 xG/shot | 68% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.04 / 90 | 59% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★½ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Clinical finisher, Accurate shooter.
⚠ 7 goals from only 3.7 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Vedat Muriqi is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Vedat Muriqi's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe prediction
Fenerbahçe should have more of the ball, with Göztepe likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Fenerbahçe work the ball wide and cross; Göztepe are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 4.2 goals - 2.98 for Fenerbahçe and 1.22 for Göztepe - with over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams scoring at 67%. Fenerbahçe have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Fenerbahçe 3-1 Göztepe
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe betting tips
- Tip 1: Fenerbahçe to win 73% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 3.5 goals 60% by the model, 4.20 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 67% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Süper Lig previews
- Göztepe vs Çorum FK Sunday 25 October 2026
- Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir Monday 26 October 2026
- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Monday 26 October 2026
- Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Monday 26 October 2026
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Friday 30 October 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Saturday 31 October 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor Saturday 31 October 2026
- Amed SK vs Eyüpspor Sunday 1 November 2026
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe: questions and answers
When is Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe?
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 10.
Where is Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe played?
At Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium, İstanbul, Fenerbahçe's home ground.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe?
Fenerbahçe are the favourites: Fenerbahçe 73%, draw 15%, Göztepe 12%. Our prediction is Fenerbahçe 3-1 Göztepe.
Who is the player to watch in Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe?
Vedat Muriqi of Fenerbahçe: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 48 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 79%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.