Borneo vs PSM Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 9
Liga 1 Indonesia · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 08:30 UTC · Stadion Segiri, Samarinda · updated 2026-10-25
Borneo welcome PSM to Stadion Segiri in Samarinda in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 9 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 08:30 UTC.
Borneo have played 5 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 40% of them. At home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. PSM have played 6 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Borneo are narrow favourites at 42%, with the draw at 27% and PSM at 31%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Borneo 1.47, PSM 1.22.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Borneo: form and key numbers
In style Borneo are happy without the ball, play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Shots: 9.8 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 36.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.47.
PSM: form and key numbers
In style PSM are happy without the ball, play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Shots: 10.3 a match, 4.2 on target.
- Possession: 44.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.39.
Borneo vs PSM: season averages side by side
| Borneo | Per match this season | PSM |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 6 |
| 0.8 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 9.8 | Shots | 10.3 |
| 4.0 | On target | 4.2 |
| 36.6 | Possession % | 44.8 |
| 40% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 40% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 5.0 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 0.8 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.47 | Average rating | 6.39 |
Players to watch
Borneo
- Kadú GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 8 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 9% of his position)
- Iago Mendonça CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 2 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 65% of his position)
PSM
- Hilman Syah GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 8 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 10% of his position)
- Navarone Foor CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 3 · Secure passer, Creator (top 31% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Aditya Warman
Aditya Warman, 21 · Borneo · DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 3
Aditya Warman, 21, plays as a defensive midfielder for Borneo in Liga 1 Indonesia. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and dribbled past. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 3
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 3
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 92% | 77% |
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 14% |
| Blocked shots | 0.80 / 90 | 11% |
| Tackles | 0.00 / 90 | 0% |
| Interceptions | 1.33 / 90 | 0% |
Roles he suits
- ★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ½ Ball-playing centre-back Centre-back
- ½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- What Aditya Warman is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Aditya Warman's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Borneo vs PSM prediction
PSM should have more of the ball; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.47 for Borneo and 1.22 for PSM - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 55%. Borneo have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Borneo 2-1 PSM
Borneo vs PSM betting tips
- Tip 1: Borneo win or draw (double chance) 69% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.69 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga 1 Indonesia previews
- Persija vs Persik Kediri Monday 26 October 2026
- Bhayangkara vs PSM Monday 26 October 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United Monday 26 October 2026
- PSS Sleman vs Borneo Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Malut United vs Bhayangkara Friday 30 October 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap Friday 30 October 2026
- Arema vs Bali United Saturday 31 October 2026
- PSM vs Madura United Saturday 31 October 2026
Borneo vs PSM: questions and answers
When is Borneo vs PSM?
Borneo vs PSM is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 08:30 UTC, in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 9.
Where is Borneo vs PSM played?
At Stadion Segiri, Samarinda, Borneo's home ground.
Who will win Borneo vs PSM?
Borneo are the favourites: Borneo 42%, draw 27%, PSM 31%. Our prediction is Borneo 2-1 PSM.
Who is the player to watch in Borneo vs PSM?
Aditya Warman of Borneo: a deep-lying playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 3 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Borneo vs PSM?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.