Celta Vigo vs Juventus Prediction and Betting Tips | UEFA Europa League Gameweek 2
UEFA Europa League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Celta Vigo welcome Juventus to Abanca-Balaídos in Vigo in UEFA Europa League Gameweek 2 action on Thursday 15 October 2026.
Celta Vigo have played 7 matches in UEFA Europa League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 14% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate. Juventus have played 5 matches in UEFA Europa League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 60% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Juventus are narrow favourites at 42%, with the draw at 29% and Celta Vigo at 29%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Celta Vigo +0.25 at 2.06, Juventus at 1.83. The main goals line is 2.5: over 2.01, under 1.85, which gives over 48%.
Celta Vigo: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.01 a match created, 1.25 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.9).
- Shots: 10.3 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 52.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Juventus: form and key numbers
In style Juventus keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.52 a match created, 0.61 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.4).
- Shots: 17.6 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 56.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 60% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 8.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.96.
Celta Vigo vs Juventus: season averages side by side
| Celta Vigo | Per match | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.52 |
| 1.25 | xG conceded | 0.61 |
| 1.14 | Goals | 1.60 |
| 10.3 | Shots | 17.6 |
| 3.7 | Shots on target | 5.8 |
| 1.1 | Big chances missed | 2.0 |
| 51.7 | Pressure share % | 73.3 |
| 14.0 | Tackles | 12.8 |
| 10.7 | Fouls | 14.8 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 5 measured matches.
Players to watch
Celta Vigo
- Javi Rueda RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 59 · Chance creator, Creator (top 8% of his position)
- Ionuț Radu GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 56 · Box defender, Secure passer (top 12% of his position)
Juventus
- Douglas Luiz CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 66 · Creator, Ball circulator (top 9% of his position)
- Zeki Çelik RB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 60 · Creator, Hard to dribble past (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Francisco Conceição
Francisco Conceição, 23 · Juventus · RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 69
Francisco Conceição, 23, plays as a winger for Juventus in Serie A. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and dispossessed. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 69
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 65
- RM · Wide midfielder Competent, 56
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.98 / 90 | 96% |
| Dispossessed | 0.74 / 90 | 73% |
| Shots | 2.97 / 90 | 73% |
| Big chances created | 0.49 / 90 | 71% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.27 / 90 | 70% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: Crosser.
- What Francisco Conceição is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Francisco Conceição's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Celta Vigo vs Juventus prediction
Juventus should have more of the ball; Juventus work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals - 0.95 for Celta Vigo and 1.15 for Juventus - with over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams scoring at 43%. Juventus have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Celta Vigo 0-1 Juventus
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Celta Vigo vs Juventus betting tips
- Tip 1: Juventus win or draw (double chance) 71% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 65% by the model, 2.10 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 11.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Celta Vigo vs Juventus: questions and answers
When is Celta Vigo vs Juventus?
Celta Vigo vs Juventus is on Thursday 15 October 2026, in UEFA Europa League Gameweek 2.
Where is Celta Vigo vs Juventus played?
At Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo, Celta Vigo's home ground.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Juventus?
Juventus are the favourites: Celta Vigo 29%, draw 29%, Juventus 42%. Our prediction is Celta Vigo 0-1 Juventus.
Who is the player to watch in Celta Vigo vs Juventus?
Francisco Conceição of Juventus: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Juventus?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 35%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.