Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal Prediction and Betting Tips
Major League Soccer · Thursday 29 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
Charlotte FC welcome CF Montreal to Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte in Major League Soccer action on Thursday 29 October 2026.
Charlotte FC have played 31 matches in Major League Soccer this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 42% of them. At home they average 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 15 matches, with a 62% win rate. CF Montreal have played 31 matches in Major League Soccer this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 19% of them. Away from home they average 1.1 goals scored and 2.6 conceded over 15 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Charlotte FC are clear favourites at 62%, with the draw at 21% and CF Montreal at 17%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.3% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Charlotte FC -1 at 1.68, CF Montreal at 2.04. The main goals line is 3.25: over 1.89, under 1.83, which gives over 49%.
Charlotte FC: form and key numbers
In style Charlotte FC play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.56 a match created, 2.19 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.5).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 46.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 16% of matches (60% at home).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
CF Montreal: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.39 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: -7.1).
- Shots: 12.9 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 48.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (25% away).
- Both teams scored in 52% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal: season averages side by side
| Charlotte FC | Per match | CF Montreal |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.39 |
| 2.19 | xG conceded | 1.85 |
| 1.77 | Goals | 1.16 |
| 11.4 | Shots | 12.9 |
| 4.4 | Shots on target | 4.8 |
| 1.6 | Big chances missed | 1.2 |
| 36.4 | Pressure share % | 44.5 |
| 11.0 | Tackles | 14.3 |
| 9.7 | Fouls | 12.7 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 31 and 31 measured matches.
Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Charlotte FC have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of the last 5 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Charlotte FC 7, CF Montreal 7 - 2.8 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished CF Montreal 1-2 Charlotte FC (September 9th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings Charlotte FC won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | CF Montreal | 1 – 2 | Charlotte FC |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Charlotte FC | 1 – 4 | CF Montreal |
| 12 Apr 2025 | CF Montreal | 0 – 1 | Charlotte FC |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Charlotte FC | 2 – 0 | CF Montreal |
| 14 Sep 2024 | CF Montreal | 2 – 1 | Charlotte FC |
Players to watch
Charlotte FC
- Kristijan Kahlina GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 55 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 8% of his position)
- Allan Saint-Maximin LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 48 · Big-chance creator, Dribbler (top 8% of his position)
CF Montreal
- Iván Jaime AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 36 · Through-ball threat, Dribbler (top 6% of his position)
- Viktor Radojević LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 33 · Creator, Crosser (top 30% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Prince Owusu
Prince Owusu, 29 · CF Montréal · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 33
Prince Owusu, 29, plays as a centre-forward for CF Montréal in the MLS. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and shots on target. Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 33
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 30
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 xG/shot | 92% |
| Shots on target | 48% | 75% |
| Key passes | 1.67 / 90 | 75% |
| Expected goals | 0.58 / 90 | 49% |
| Goals | 0.38 / 90 | 20% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★½ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots.
- What Prince Owusu is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Prince Owusu's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal prediction
CF Montreal should have more of the ball; Charlotte FC go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 4.0 goals - 2.47 for Charlotte FC and 1.56 for CF Montreal - with over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams scoring at 73%. Charlotte FC have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Charlotte FC 3-1 CF Montreal
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal betting tips
- Tip 1: Charlotte FC to win 62% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 3.5 goals 57% by the model, 4.03 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 73% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 9.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal: questions and answers
When is Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal?
Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal is on Thursday 29 October 2026, in Major League Soccer.
Where is Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal played?
At Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, Charlotte FC's home ground.
Who will win Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal?
Charlotte FC are the favourites: Charlotte FC 62%, draw 21%, CF Montreal 17%. Our prediction is Charlotte FC 3-1 CF Montreal.
Who is the player to watch in Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal?
Prince Owusu of CF Montréal: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 33 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 77%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.