New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls Prediction and Betting Tips
Major League Soccer · Thursday 29 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
New England Revolution welcome New York Red Bulls to Gillette Stadium in Major League Soccer action on Thursday 29 October 2026.
New England Revolution have played 31 matches in Major League Soccer this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 55% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 15 matches, with a 59% win rate. New York Red Bulls have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, New England Revolution are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 25% and New York Red Bulls at 30%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is New England Revolution -0.5 at 1.93, New York Red Bulls at 1.80. The main goals line is 3.25: over 1.79, under 1.92, which gives over 52%.
New England Revolution: form and key numbers
In style New England Revolution press high.
- Expected goals: 1.53 a match created, 1.45 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.7).
- Shots: 12.2 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 50.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 19% of matches (83% at home).
- Both teams scored in 61% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls: season averages side by side
| New England Revolution | Per match | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| 1.53 | Expected goals (xG) | – |
| 1.45 | xG conceded | – |
| 1.65 | Goals | – |
| 12.2 | Shots | – |
| 5.0 | Shots on target | – |
| 1.1 | Big chances missed | – |
| 56.9 | Pressure share % | – |
| 12.9 | Tackles | – |
| 9.6 | Fouls | – |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | – |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 31 and – measured matches.
Players to watch
New England Revolution
- Jack Harrison LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 50 · Crosser, Big-chance creator (top 1% of his position)
- Carles Gil AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 44 · Secure passer, Through-ball threat (top 8% of his position)
New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.72 for New England Revolution and 1.27 for New York Red Bulls - with over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 60%. New England Revolution have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: New England Revolution 2-1 New York Red Bulls
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls betting tips
- Tip 1: New England Revolution win or draw (double chance) 70% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 57% by the model, 2.99 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 60% by the model
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls in the Match Centre Follow it live
More Major League Soccer previews
- Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal Thursday 29 October 2026
- Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati Thursday 29 October 2026
- New York City FC vs Atlanta United Thursday 29 October 2026
- Toronto FC vs DC United Thursday 29 October 2026
- Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake Thursday 29 October 2026
- Chicago Fire vs Orlando City Thursday 29 October 2026
New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls: questions and answers
When is New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?
New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls is on Thursday 29 October 2026, in Major League Soccer.
Where is New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls played?
At Gillette Stadium, New England Revolution's home ground.
Who will win New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?
New England Revolution are the favourites: New England Revolution 45%, draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 30%. Our prediction is New England Revolution 2-1 New York Red Bulls.
How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.