Corinthians vs Mirassol Prediction and Betting Tips
Brasileirao · Saturday 31 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
Corinthians welcome Mirassol to Arena Corinthians in São Paulo in Brasileirao action on Saturday 31 October 2026.
Corinthians have played 32 matches in Brasileirao this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 16 matches, with a 63% win rate. Mirassol have played 32 matches in Brasileirao this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 28% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 15 matches, with a 22% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Corinthians are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 26% and Mirassol at 20%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.4% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Corinthians -0.75 at 1.86, Mirassol at 1.86. The main goals line is 2.5: over 1.94, under 1.76, which gives over 48%.
Corinthians: form and key numbers
In style Corinthians keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.98 a match created, 1.24 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.6).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 54.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 31% of matches (60% at home).
- Both teams scored in 59% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
Mirassol: form and key numbers
In style Mirassol cross a lot, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.35 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: -6.0).
- Shots: 13.8 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 49.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 66% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Corinthians vs Mirassol: season averages side by side
| Corinthians | Per match | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.35 |
| 1.24 | xG conceded | 1.85 |
| 1.06 | Goals | 1.16 |
| 12.8 | Shots | 13.8 |
| 3.9 | Shots on target | 4.5 |
| 1.0 | Big chances missed | 1.5 |
| 57.3 | Pressure share % | 47.8 |
| 14.0 | Tackles | 14.0 |
| 13.2 | Fouls | 12.4 |
| 2.7 | Yellow cards | 2.7 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 32 and 32 measured matches.
Corinthians vs Mirassol: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Corinthians have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of the last 3 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Corinthians 5, Mirassol 4 - 3.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Mirassol 2-1 Corinthians (May 3rd 2026).
Head to head
In their last 3 meetings Corinthians won 1, drew 0 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | Mirassol | 2 – 1 | Corinthians |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Corinthians | 3 – 0 | Mirassol |
| 10 May 2025 | Mirassol | 2 – 1 | Corinthians |
Players to watch
Corinthians
- André Ramalho CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 55 · Long passer, Dominant in the air (top 19% of his position)
- Fabrizio Angileri LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 55 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 19% of his position)
Mirassol
- Gabriel CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 60 · Reads the game, Box defender (top 5% of his position)
- Nathan Fogaça CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 58 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 18% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Reinaldo
Reinaldo, 37 · Mirassol · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 56
Reinaldo, 37, plays as a wing-back for Mirassol in the Brasileirão. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 56
- LB · Full-back Natural, 54
- LM · Wide midfielder Competent, 34
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 2.45 / 90 | 97% |
| Key passes | 2.63 / 90 | 94% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.31 / 90 | 86% |
| Expected goals | 0.15 / 90 | 73% |
| Dribbled past | 0.65 / 90 | 49% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Crosser, Chance creator, Creator.
- What Reinaldo is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Corinthians vs Mirassol prediction
Corinthians should have more of the ball; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.38 for Corinthians and 1.09 for Mirassol - with over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 50%. Corinthians have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Corinthians 2-0 Mirassol
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Corinthians vs Mirassol betting tips
- Tip 1: Corinthians win or draw (double chance) 80% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 55% by the model, 2.47 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 13.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 10.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Corinthians vs Mirassol in the Match Centre Follow it live
More Brasileirao previews
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- Flamengo vs Atletico Mineiro Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Fluminense vs Internacional Thursday 29 October 2026
- RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense Thursday 29 October 2026
- Santos vs Palmeiras Thursday 29 October 2026
- Bahia vs Sao Paulo Thursday 29 October 2026
Corinthians vs Mirassol: questions and answers
When is Corinthians vs Mirassol?
Corinthians vs Mirassol is on Saturday 31 October 2026, in Brasileirao.
Where is Corinthians vs Mirassol played?
At Arena Corinthians, São Paulo, Corinthians's home ground.
Who will win Corinthians vs Mirassol?
Corinthians are the favourites: Corinthians 54%, draw 26%, Mirassol 20%. Our prediction is Corinthians 2-0 Mirassol.
Who is the player to watch in Corinthians vs Mirassol?
Reinaldo of Mirassol: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 56 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Mirassol?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.