Fluminense vs Internacional Prediction and Betting Tips
Brasileirao · Thursday 29 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
Fluminense welcome Internacional to Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho in Rio de Janeiro in Brasileirao action on Thursday 29 October 2026.
Fluminense have played 32 matches in Brasileirao this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 44% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 16 matches, with a 79% win rate. Internacional have played 32 matches in Brasileirao this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 16 matches, with a 38% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Fluminense are narrow favourites at 47%, with the draw at 28% and Internacional at 25%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Fluminense -0.5 at 1.83, Internacional at 1.90. The main goals line is 2.5: over 1.93, under 1.78, which gives over 48%.
Fluminense: form and key numbers
In style Fluminense keep the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.36 a match created, 1.38 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.4).
- Shots: 14.7 a match, 5.6 on target.
- Possession: 58.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 19% of matches (83% at home).
- Both teams scored in 72% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Internacional: form and key numbers
In style Internacional play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.37 a match created, 1.48 conceded (goals minus xG: -7.9).
- Shots: 14.8 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 46.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (29% away).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Fluminense vs Internacional: season averages side by side
| Fluminense | Per match | Internacional |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.37 |
| 1.38 | xG conceded | 1.48 |
| 1.56 | Goals | 1.13 |
| 14.7 | Shots | 14.8 |
| 5.6 | Shots on target | 4.4 |
| 1.2 | Big chances missed | 1.3 |
| 52.9 | Pressure share % | 41.6 |
| 15.0 | Tackles | 17.4 |
| 13.1 | Fouls | 15.6 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 2.7 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 32 and 32 measured matches.
Fluminense vs Internacional: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Fluminense have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of the last 5 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Fluminense 4, Internacional 5 - 1.8 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Internacional 2-0 Fluminense (May 3rd 2026).
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings Fluminense won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | Internacional | 2 – 0 | Fluminense |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Fluminense | 1 – 0 | Internacional |
| 1 Jun 2025 | Internacional | 0 – 2 | Fluminense |
| 8 Nov 2024 | Internacional | 2 – 0 | Fluminense |
| 4 Jul 2024 | Fluminense | 1 – 1 | Internacional |
Players to watch
Fluminense
- Igor Rabello CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 67 · Hard to dribble past, Reads the game (top 9% of his position)
- Jefferson Savarino AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 58 · Secure passer, High shot volume (top 9% of his position)
Internacional
- Bruno Gomes RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 66 · Duel winner, Dribbler (top 4% of his position)
- Matheus Bahia LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 54 · Creator, Chance creator (top 8% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Luciano Acosta
Luciano Acosta, 32 · Fluminense · AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 67
Luciano Acosta, 32, plays as an attacking midfielder for Fluminense in the Brasileirão. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and expected assists (est.). Weakest in through balls. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 67
- ST · Centre-forward Accomplished, 50
- LW · Winger Competent, 40
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 2.07 / 90 | 94% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.36 / 90 | 90% |
| Key passes | 2.90 / 90 | 86% |
| Big chances created | 0.59 / 90 | 85% |
| Dispossessed | 0.89 / 90 | 82% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Link-up forward Second striker
- ★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★½ Dribbling playmaker Attacking midfielder
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Creator, Chance creator.
- What Luciano Acosta is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Luciano Acosta's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Fluminense vs Internacional prediction
Fluminense should have more of the ball, with Internacional likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Fluminense like to take players on; Internacional go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.61 for Fluminense and 1.13 for Internacional - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 55%. Fluminense have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Fluminense 2-1 Internacional
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Fluminense vs Internacional betting tips
- Tip 1: Fluminense win or draw (double chance) 75% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.74 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 11.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 11.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Fluminense vs Internacional in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Fluminense vs Internacional: questions and answers
When is Fluminense vs Internacional?
Fluminense vs Internacional is on Thursday 29 October 2026, in Brasileirao.
Where is Fluminense vs Internacional played?
At Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro, Fluminense's home ground.
Who will win Fluminense vs Internacional?
Fluminense are the favourites: Fluminense 47%, draw 28%, Internacional 25%. Our prediction is Fluminense 2-1 Internacional.
Who is the player to watch in Fluminense vs Internacional?
Luciano Acosta of Fluminense: a dribbling playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 67 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Internacional?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Tags
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